Union Budget 2026: Energy & Power Sector Shifts from Capacity to Stability

Date
27 Jan 2026
Author
Nidhi Thakur
Read
5 Mins
Union Budget 2026: Energy & Power Sector Shifts from Capacity to Stability

Summary

  • Battery Energy Storage Systems are expected to be the biggest Budget winner
  • Green Hydrogen support to continue with focus on electrolyser manufacturing
  • Higher transmission capex likely to ease renewable evacuation bottlenecks
  • Solar PLI may move upstream to reduce import dependence
  • Thermal power to see pragmatic support for baseload security

Why Union Budget 2026 Matters for the Energy & Power Sector

For over a decade, India’s energy policy revolved around one clear metric: capacity addition. Megawatts added became the headline number. However, as renewable penetration rises beyond 40 percent in several states, the conversation is finally changing.

Union Budget 2026 is expected to reflect this maturity. The focus is shifting from just adding green capacity to ensuring grid stability, round-the-clock availability, and energy security. This transition has meaningful implications for listed power, energy, capital goods and infrastructure companies.

For investors tracking the Union Budget 2026 Energy & Power Sector Outlook, this is less about ideology and more about execution.

Battery Energy Storage Systems: Storage Is King

Among all budget expectations, Battery Energy Storage Systems are emerging as the single most critical theme. India’s renewable push has created a new problem: power is available, but not always when needed.

Solar peaks during the day. Wind is seasonal. Demand peaks in the evening.

This mismatch is where battery storage becomes essential.

What the industry expects

  • Faster rollout of Viability Gap Funding for BESS projects
  • Reduction in GST on batteries from 18 percent to align with electricity which is exempt
  • Long duration storage tenders by SECI and state discoms

Market impact

A GST rationalisation alone can materially improve project IRRs. Companies involved in storage solutions, EPC players, and grid-linked infrastructure providers stand to benefit. Over time, BESS also reduces discom stress by lowering peak power procurement costs.

Real world example: States like Tamil Nadu and Karnataka have already begun piloting storage-linked renewable tenders, signalling what could scale nationally post Budget.

Green Hydrogen and the SIGHT 2.0 Push

The National Green Hydrogen Mission remains a long-term strategic pillar, and Budget 2026 is expected to deepen this commitment rather than expand it blindly.

The focus is likely to be sharper execution through the SIGHT program.

Key expectations

  • Continued allocation for SIGHT Phase 2
  • Targeted incentives for electrolyser manufacturing
  • Support to reduce reliance on imported electrolysers

Why this matters

Electrolysers account for a large part of green hydrogen project costs. Domestic manufacturing can significantly lower costs and improve scalability. This also aligns with India’s broader manufacturing and self-reliance goals.

For investors, this creates opportunities across industrial gases, capital goods, and select renewable companies positioning for hydrogen value chains.

Transmission Capex: Solving the Evacuation Bottleneck

Adding renewable capacity is meaningless if power cannot reach consumption centres. This is where transmission infrastructure becomes the unsung hero of the energy transition.

Union Budget 2026 is expected to allocate meaningful capital towards Green Energy Corridor Phase III.

Focus areas

  • Rajasthan and Gujarat renewable evacuation
  • Inter-state transmission systems
  • Grid modernisation and balancing infrastructure

Investment relevance

Transmission projects offer regulated returns, long visibility, and relatively lower risk. Increased capex here benefits power grid operators, EPC companies, and electrical equipment manufacturers.

From a market standpoint, this improves renewable project viability and reduces stranded capacity risks.

Solar Manufacturing: Moving Up the Value Chain

India’s Production Linked Incentive scheme has helped kick-start domestic module assembly. However, dependence on imported upstream components remains high.

Budget 2026 may address this gap.

Expected policy direction

  • PLI expansion to polysilicon, ingots and wafers
  • Incentives for integrated manufacturing
  • Reduced vulnerability to global supply disruptions

Why markets care

Upstream integration improves margins, stabilises supply chains, and strengthens India’s competitiveness against Chinese dominance. Over the medium term, this can reshape profitability dynamics within the solar manufacturing ecosystem.

OUR EXPERT VIEWS

“Union Budget signals a mature energy strategy, prioritising storage, evacuation infrastructure, and baseload security over headline renewable capacity numbers.”

Thermal Power: A Pragmatic Reality Check

Despite the green push, India’s power demand continues to rise sharply, especially during peak hours. Recent summers have already tested grid resilience.

Union Budget 2026 is likely to acknowledge this reality.

What to expect

  • Support for brownfield thermal expansion
  • Efficiency upgrades rather than greenfield projects
  • Policy backing to ensure baseload availability

This is not a reversal of renewable policy but a recognition that energy transition must be reliable. Thermal power remains essential for grid stability until storage scales meaningfully.

For investors, this reduces the risk of sudden policy shocks to existing thermal assets.

What This Means for Indian Equity Markets

The Union Budget 2026 Energy & Power Sector Outlook suggests a shift from headline capacity numbers to balance, reliability and sustainability.

Key beneficiaries may include:

  • Storage solution providers
  • Transmission and grid infrastructure players
  • Integrated renewable developers
  • Capital goods and power equipment manufacturers

From a portfolio perspective, this theme favours companies with execution capability, balance sheet strength and regulatory alignment.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is battery storage mandatory for future renewable projects?
While not mandatory across the board yet, storage-linked tenders are becoming more common and likely to expand post Budget.

Will green hydrogen impact markets immediately?
Green hydrogen remains a medium to long-term theme. Budget incentives mainly improve visibility rather than near-term earnings.

Does thermal support mean renewables are slowing down?
No. Thermal support is about grid stability, not reversing the renewable transition.

Which segment offers lower risk exposure?
Transmission and grid infrastructure typically offer more predictable cash flows due to regulated returns.

Conclusion: Investing in a Balanced Energy Transition

Union Budget 2026 is shaping up to be a maturity moment for India’s energy policy. The shift from capacity addition to grid stability reflects confidence, not compromise.

For investors, the opportunity lies in understanding where policy intent meets execution capability.

At Swastika Investmart, our SEBI-registered research team tracks policy developments, sectoral trends, and company fundamentals to help investors navigate such structural shifts with clarity. Our tech-enabled platforms, strong research tools, and dedicated customer support ensure informed decision-making across market cycles.

If you are looking to align your investments with India’s evolving energy landscape, now is a good time to take action.

👉 Open your trading and investment account here

Smart transitions create smart investment opportunities.

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