Union Budget 2026 Expectations for the Aerospace Sector: India Ready for Take-Off

Date
31 Jan 2026
Author
Santosh Meena
Read
5 Mins
Union Budget 2026 Expectations for the Aerospace Sector: India Ready for Take-Off

Summary

  • Defence and aerospace capex likely to see another double-digit rise with focus on indigenous procurement and private participation.
  • Civil aviation needs tax relief on fuel, stronger regional connectivity and faster airport expansion.
  • MRO, aircraft leasing and drone manufacturing seek duty rationalisation and GST clarity.
  • Space technology and satellite ecosystem expected to get higher allocation and PLI style incentives.
  • Measures could strengthen listed aerospace players and create long-term opportunities for Indian investors.

India’s aerospace story is entering a decisive phase. With the Finance Minister set to present the Union Budget 2026, the sector is watching for policy signals that can convert strong demand into sustainable growth. The ecosystem today spans defence aircraft, components, civil aviation, maintenance and repair services, drones and a fast-growing private space industry. Each segment has unique needs, yet all are connected by the national goal of self-reliance and global competitiveness.

Why Aerospace Matters for the Indian Economy

India is now the third-largest domestic aviation market in the world. Passenger traffic has crossed 400 million annually and is projected to expand sharply over the next five years. Airport numbers have doubled in a decade, but the country still has far fewer airports per million people than global peers. On the defence side, geopolitical realities have pushed India to build local capability in fighters, helicopters, missiles and avionics. The space programme, once government driven, is welcoming startups and private manufacturers.

This combination makes aerospace one of the few sectors where manufacturing, services, technology and exports converge. Budget decisions therefore have a multiplier effect on employment, MSMEs and regional development.

Defence Aerospace: Expect a Strong Capex Push

The clearest expectation is a meaningful rise in defence capital expenditure. Industry voices are seeking a 15 to 20 percent increase with a larger share reserved for indigenous procurement. Faster conversion of Defence Acquisition Council approvals into firm orders is equally important. Private manufacturers want long-term visibility so they can invest in tooling and skilled manpower.

A higher allocation to research agencies and testing infrastructure would help Indian firms move from assembly to design. Companies involved in radar systems, avionics, missiles and aircraft components could see healthier order books. For investors, this segment remains a structural growth theme rather than a short-term trade.

Civil Aviation: Affordability and Infrastructure

Airlines continue to battle high operating costs, largely due to aviation turbine fuel prices. Bringing fuel under GST remains a long-standing demand. Even a partial rationalisation could lower ticket prices and improve route viability. Regional connectivity under UDAN has connected many tier-two cities, yet viability gaps persist. The Budget may extend support for new routes and smaller airports.

Another focus area is sustainable aviation. Global carriers are moving towards cleaner fuels and carbon-neutral airports. Incentives for blending sustainable aviation fuel or setting up green airport infrastructure would align India with global standards. The government also aims to position GIFT City as a hub for aircraft leasing and financing, reducing dependence on overseas lessors.

MRO and Manufacturing: Building at Home

India still sends a large portion of aircraft maintenance work abroad. A clear tax regime for MRO services, customs duty relief on spare parts and faster certification processes could change this picture. Domestic MRO growth would create high-skill jobs and cut downtime for airlines.

Manufacturers of drones and aerospace components are asking for extension of production-linked incentives. Rationalising inverted duty structures is crucial so that local production becomes cheaper than imports. MSME suppliers need easier credit and export facilitation to join global supply chains.

Space Technology: The New Frontier

Private space firms have moved from concept to commercial launches. Analysts expect at least a ten percent rise in the Department of Space budget along with procurement commitments for private players. Support for satellite manufacturing, earth observation services and launch vehicles can expand the space economy several times over the decade.

For young entrepreneurs, clarity on spectrum usage, insurance norms and foreign investment limits would unlock capital. India’s reputation for low-cost missions gives it a natural export advantage if policy remains consistent.

OUR EXPERT VIEWS

Budget 2026 can be transformative for aerospace if it delivers higher defence capex, GST relief on aviation fuel, and strong incentives for MRO, drones, and private space manufacturing.

Impact on Indian Markets

Positive announcements could re-rate aerospace and defence stocks, especially those with strong order pipelines and technology partnerships. Civil aviation benefits would flow to airport operators, travel platforms and hospitality in connected cities. Investors should, however, differentiate between companies with real execution capability and those riding the narrative.

Real-World Illustration

Consider a regional city that recently received a new airport under the connectivity scheme. Local businesses report faster movement of goods, tourism growth and new training institutes. If the Budget provides further support for such routes and MRO facilities nearby, the economic circle widens. Similar stories are emerging around defence corridors in Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu where component suppliers are setting up units.

Role of Trusted Intermediaries

Navigating aerospace opportunities requires research depth and regulatory understanding. SEBI-registered brokers such as Swastika Investmart combine technology-enabled investing with dedicated research desks, helping investors evaluate companies across defence, aviation and emerging tech. Educational initiatives and responsive customer support are particularly valuable in a sector where policy shifts can change valuations quickly.

What Could Limit the Upside

Fiscal discipline remains a constraint. If revenue collections soften, the government may choose incremental steps rather than big schemes. Global trade tensions or supply chain disruptions could also affect aircraft deliveries. Investors should watch execution timelines rather than only headline numbers.

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Will aviation fuel come under GST in Budget 2026?
Industry expects movement in this direction, but the decision involves both Centre and states. Even a lower tax band or partial inclusion would meaningfully reduce airline costs.

2. Which aerospace segments may benefit the most?
Defence manufacturing, MRO services, drone components and private space technology appear best placed due to strong domestic demand and government focus on indigenisation.

3. How does higher defence capex affect retail investors?
Larger orders improve revenue visibility for listed manufacturers and their suppliers, though stock performance will depend on execution and margins.

4. What is the significance of aircraft leasing in GIFT City?
Domestic leasing can lower financing costs for airlines and create a new financial services ecosystem within India.

Closing Thoughts

The Union Budget 2026 has the opportunity to convert India’s aerospace ambition into tangible industrial capacity. Balanced measures on taxes, incentives and infrastructure can make flying cheaper, defence stronger and space startups bolder. For investors willing to take a long view, the sector offers a blend of national priority and commercial potential.

If you wish to participate in this growth with reliable research support and seamless digital investing, explore account opening with Swastika Investmart

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