Union Budget 2026: What It Means for India’s Steel Sector

Date
27 Jan 2026
Author
Nidhi Thakur
Read
6 Mins
Union Budget 2026: What It Means for India’s Steel Sector

Summary

  • Steel demand in India is expected to grow around 9 percent in 2026, driven by infrastructure spending
  • Green steel incentives and decarbonization support are likely to be a major budget focus
  • Duty rationalization and raw material security remain critical for capacity expansion
  • Trade protection and PLI support may continue under the Make in India agenda
  • Budget outcomes could influence steel stock performance and long-term investments

Why the Steel Sector Matters in Union Budget 2026

Steel is not just another industrial commodity. It is the backbone of roads, railways, housing, renewable energy projects, defence manufacturing, and urban infrastructure. Every rupee spent on infrastructure has a multiplier effect on steel demand.

India currently aims to reach 300 million tonnes of steel capacity by 2030. Achieving this target requires supportive fiscal policy, stable raw material access, and incentives for sustainable production.

Union Budget 2026 will indicate whether the government is ready to balance rapid capacity growth with environmental responsibility.

Green Steel and Decarbonization Take Centre Stage

Fiscal Support for Low Carbon Steel

The transition to green steel is no longer optional. Major steel producers are actively exploring hydrogen-based Direct Reduced Iron technologies to reduce carbon emissions. However, green steel comes at a higher cost compared to conventional production.

Industry bodies are seeking fiscal incentives such as tax benefits, viability gap funding, and concessional green financing to offset this green premium. Budgetary support in this area would not only aid domestic players but also position India competitively in global low-carbon supply chains.

Promoting Scrap Usage

India’s scrap consumption remains relatively low compared to developed markets. Increasing scrap usage can significantly reduce emissions and energy costs.

The Indian Steel Association has proposed extending the GST reverse charge mechanism across the entire metal scrap supply chain. This would simplify compliance, reduce tax leakages, and encourage formalisation of scrap sourcing.

If implemented, this move could improve margins for secondary steel producers while supporting sustainability goals.

Mandatory Green Steel Procurement

There are growing calls to mandate at least 20 percent green steel usage in government infrastructure projects. Such a move would create assured demand and encourage steel companies to invest in cleaner technologies with confidence.

Raw Material Security and Duty Rationalization

Import Duties on Critical Inputs

Coking coal and ferro-nickel account for a significant portion of steel production costs, especially for high-grade steel. Volatility in global commodity prices has often squeezed margins.

The industry expects Union Budget 2026 to review or reduce import duties on these critical raw materials. Duty rationalization could help stabilize costs and improve competitiveness, particularly for export-oriented steel makers.

Iron Ore Beneficiation Push

India has an estimated 300 million tonnes of low-grade iron ore that remains underutilized. Mining companies have been urging the government to introduce a time-bound incentive framework for beneficiation.

Encouraging beneficiation would reduce import dependence, improve resource efficiency, and support long-term raw material security for steel plants.

Royalty Rationalization

Another long-standing concern is the issue of double taxation in mining royalties. Rationalizing royalty calculations could improve project viability and attract fresh investments into captive mining and capacity expansion.

Trade Protection and the Make in India Agenda

Safeguarding Against Cheap Imports

Global steel markets have seen aggressive exports from countries like China, often at prices that distort fair competition. Indian producers are wary of the domestic market becoming a dumping ground.

The steel industry expects stricter quality control orders, stronger enforcement, and potentially higher Basic Customs Duties on select products to protect domestic manufacturers.

Such measures can provide pricing stability and protect capacity utilization levels.

PLI Scheme Expansion

The Production Linked Incentive scheme for specialty steel has already encouraged investment in high-end grades used in defence, automobiles, and renewable energy.

There is optimism that Union Budget 2026 could announce an expanded outlay under PLI, further reducing India’s reliance on imports of value-added steel products.

OUR EXPERT VIEWS

“Union Budget 2026 will be pivotal for steel as policy support for green steel, raw material security, and infrastructure capex determines cost competitiveness and long-term capacity expansion.”

Infrastructure Led Demand Remains the Growth Engine

Government capital expenditure has been the single biggest demand driver for steel over the past few years. With an allocation of ₹11.11 lakh crore in the previous budget, infrastructure activity has remained strong across highways, railways, ports, and urban development.

The steel sector expects this momentum to continue. A sustained or higher capex push would help maintain demand growth in the 9 to 10 percent range, offering earnings visibility for steel companies despite global uncertainties.

For investors, infrastructure spending signals long-term volume growth rather than short-term cyclical spikes.

What This Means for Indian Markets and Investors

Budget announcements related to steel often influence market sentiment across large-cap and mid-cap steel stocks. Policy clarity on green steel, raw materials, and trade protection can impact margins, expansion plans, and valuation outlooks.

Investors tracking the sector should watch for policy cues rather than short-term price movements. Structural reforms tend to create value over multiple cycles.

Platforms like Swastika Investmart help investors navigate such themes with SEBI-registered research, sector insights, and tech-enabled tools designed for informed decision-making.

Frequently Asked Questions

How important is Union Budget 2026 for steel stocks?

Union Budget 2026 can influence steel stocks through policy measures on duties, green incentives, and infrastructure spending, all of which affect demand and profitability.

Will green steel policies impact steel company margins?

In the short term, green steel has higher costs, but fiscal incentives and assured demand can protect margins and support long-term competitiveness.

Why is raw material duty rationalization important?

Lower duties on inputs like coking coal can reduce cost pressures and improve earnings stability for steel producers.

How does infrastructure spending affect steel demand?

Infrastructure projects consume large volumes of steel, making government capex a key driver of sector growth.

Final Thoughts: A Budget That Could Shape the Next Steel Cycle

Union Budget 2026 arrives at a time when India’s steel sector is balancing growth ambitions with sustainability challenges. Policy support for green steel, raw material security, and infrastructure-led demand could define the industry’s trajectory for the rest of the decade.

For investors seeking exposure to long-term manufacturing and infrastructure themes, understanding these budget signals is essential.

To track steel sector opportunities with confidence, consider opening an account with Swastika Investmart. With strong research capabilities, investor education initiatives, and a tech-driven trading platform, Swastika helps investors stay aligned with India’s evolving market story.

👉 Open your account now

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