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The US economy remains the single most influential force in global financial markets. From equity flows to currency movements and commodity prices, decisions taken in Washington and by the US Federal Reserve ripple across economies worldwide. As we look ahead, understanding what to expect from the US economy in 2026 becomes essential for Indian investors, traders, exporters and policymakers.
In this blog, we break down the expected economic trends in the US for 2026 and explain how these developments could shape Indian stock markets, interest rates, currency movements and investment strategies.
After years of post pandemic recovery and policy tightening, the US economy is expected to enter 2026 with stable momentum. Most global institutions expect GDP growth to remain around the long term average rather than the sharp expansion seen earlier in the decade.
Key drivers include strong consumer spending, government infrastructure investment and continued capital expenditure in technology and artificial intelligence. At the same time, high base effects and tighter financial conditions could limit rapid growth.
For Indian investors, stable US growth is generally positive as it supports global risk appetite without creating excessive inflationary pressure.
Inflation is expected to trend closer to the US Federal Reserve’s comfort zone by 2026, though it may not settle perfectly at two percent. Wage pressures, energy prices and supply chain restructuring will continue to influence price levels.
Lower inflation reduces the need for aggressive monetary tightening and supports equity markets globally.
One of the most watched elements of the US economy in 2026 will be interest rates. If inflation continues to ease, the Federal Reserve may shift towards a more accommodative stance or maintain stable rates.
For India, this matters because lower US interest rates often lead to increased foreign portfolio inflows into emerging markets like India, improving liquidity and supporting equity valuations.
The US dollar’s trajectory in 2026 will depend largely on interest rate differentials and economic confidence. A stable or slightly weaker dollar typically benefits emerging market currencies, including the Indian rupee.
A stronger rupee can help reduce imported inflation for India, especially in crude oil and raw materials. However, exporters may face margin pressure if currency appreciation becomes sharp.
Foreign Institutional Investors closely track US bond yields and equity performance. If US yields remain stable and growth continues without shocks, India is likely to attract sustained FII inflows.
Historically, periods of US economic stability have coincided with strong performance in Indian sectors such as IT, banking, capital goods and consumer discretionary.
Trade policy remains a key variable. Any shift towards protectionism or tariff changes can affect Indian exports to the US, particularly in textiles, engineering goods and specialty chemicals.
However, diversification away from China continues to create long term opportunities for Indian manufacturers under the China plus one strategy.
From an Indian regulatory standpoint, SEBI continues to emphasize transparency, investor protection and risk management. Global volatility originating from the US economy reinforces the importance of disciplined investing, asset allocation and regulatory compliance.
Platforms like Swastika Investmart, a SEBI registered intermediary, play a crucial role by offering research backed insights, technology driven trading platforms and investor education that helps clients navigate global uncertainty confidently.
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Long term wealth creation depends on staying invested with a clear strategy rather than timing global events perfectly.
How will the US economy in 2026 affect Indian stock markets?
A stable US economy usually supports global risk appetite, leading to better FII inflows and positive sentiment in Indian equities.
Will US interest rate changes impact Indian investors?
Yes. Lower or stable US rates often encourage foreign investments into India, improving liquidity and market valuations.
Which Indian sectors are most influenced by the US economy?
IT, pharmaceuticals, metals and export oriented manufacturing sectors are most sensitive to US economic trends.
Is a weaker US dollar good for India?
Generally yes, as it supports the rupee and reduces import costs, though exporters may face some pressure.
Understanding what to expect from the US economy in 2026 is essential for making informed investment decisions in India. While global uncertainties will always exist, a balanced US growth outlook combined with easing inflation could create a supportive environment for Indian markets.
With expert research, robust trading platforms and strong customer support, Swastika Investmart helps investors stay ahead of global trends while focusing on long term financial goals.
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Institutional flows often provide the clearest insight into market sentiment. On 17 December 2025, Indian equity markets saw a meaningful shift as Foreign Institutional Investors recorded net buying of ₹1,171.71 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors added ₹768.94 crore.
This simultaneous buying by FIIs and DIIs is closely watched because it reflects confidence from both global investors and domestic institutions at the same time. Even when benchmark indices show limited movement, such data helps investors understand what smart money is doing beneath the surface.
Foreign Institutional Investors include overseas mutual funds, sovereign wealth funds, and global asset managers investing in Indian equities. Domestic Institutional Investors consist of Indian mutual funds, insurance companies, pension funds, and banks, all regulated by SEBI.
Historically, when both FIIs and DIIs are net buyers on the same day, markets tend to find support, especially during volatile or sideways phases.
On 17 Dec 2025, total institutional inflows of over ₹1,940 crore provided a stabilising influence on the market.
FII behaviour in December 2025 has been cautious due to global factors like fluctuating US bond yields, mixed cues from global indices, and evolving expectations around interest rate cuts.
Today’s FII buying suggests selective confidence rather than broad-based risk-taking. Large-cap stocks, particularly in banking, IT services, and capital goods, attracted steady overseas interest.
For FIIs, India continues to stand out among emerging markets due to stable macroeconomic indicators, controlled inflation, and consistent GDP growth projections. The inflows seen today indicate that global investors are willing to accumulate quality Indian stocks at reasonable valuations.
Domestic Institutional Investors stepped in with ₹768.94 crore of net buying on 17 December 2025, continuing their role as market stabilisers.
Indian mutual funds, backed by consistent SIP inflows, used today’s market conditions to accumulate fundamentally strong stocks. Insurance companies and long-term domestic funds focused on sectors linked to India’s growth story such as infrastructure, financial services, and manufacturing.
In recent years, DIIs have become increasingly important in absorbing FII selling pressure, making Indian markets more resilient than before.
Despite mixed global cues, institutional buying helped Indian markets avoid sharp downside today. While benchmark indices showed limited gains, the underlying breadth improved in select sectors.
Stocks with strong earnings visibility and balance sheets saw accumulation, indicating that institutional investors are positioning themselves for the medium to long term rather than chasing short-term momentum.
For retail investors, such data highlights the importance of tracking institutional trends instead of reacting to daily index movements.
When FIIs and DIIs are both net positive, it usually signals confidence in the market’s underlying strength. However, it does not mean every stock will move higher.
Retail investors should focus on quality companies, diversification, and disciplined investing. Following institutional trends can help in understanding broader market direction, but investment decisions should always align with individual financial goals and risk tolerance.
Platforms like Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered brokerage, provide access to detailed market insights, research-backed recommendations, and tech-enabled tools that help investors interpret such data effectively.
Is FII net buying always bullish
Not always. It indicates confidence, but markets also depend on earnings, valuations, and global factors.
How do DIIs impact market stability
DIIs often counterbalance FII selling, providing support during volatile periods through long-term investments.
Should retail investors follow FII and DII trends
Yes, as a reference point. However, decisions should be based on fundamentals and personal financial planning.
The net buying by FIIs worth ₹1,171.71 crore and DIIs worth ₹768.94 crore on 17 December 2025 reflects cautious optimism in Indian equities. While global uncertainty persists, institutional investors appear comfortable accumulating quality stocks in the Indian market.
For investors seeking clarity amid daily market noise, understanding institutional behaviour can provide valuable perspective. With strong research tools, investor education, and responsive customer support, Swastika Investmart helps investors navigate such market phases with confidence.
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The Indian stock market closed marginally lower today, Wednesday, 17 December 2025, as investors opted for caution amid mixed global signals and selective profit booking across key sectors. While the broader structure of the market remains constructive, today’s session reflected a pause after recent highs.
Benchmark indices traded in a narrow range for most of the session, indicating indecision among market participants.
At the close:
Nifty 50 settled at 25,818.55, down 0.16 percent
BSE Sensex ended at 84,559.65, lower by 0.14 percent
Bank Nifty closed at 58,926.75, declining 0.18 percent
Indian equities opened on a muted note today, tracking cautious cues from global markets. Early gains were capped quickly as selling pressure emerged in heavyweight banking and IT stocks. Midday trading remained range bound, with institutional investors staying selective.
In the second half, the market attempted a mild recovery but failed to sustain momentum, leading to a soft close.
This kind of consolidation is often seen after strong rallies, especially when markets wait for clarity on global interest rate outlooks and upcoming macroeconomic data.
Banking stocks remained under pressure today, dragging Bank Nifty lower. Private sector banks witnessed mild profit booking after recent outperformance. PSU banks showed mixed movement as investors booked short term gains.
IT stocks traded flat to weak, influenced by subdued global tech cues and cautious outlook on overseas demand. Currency stability also reduced defensive buying in IT.
Defensive sectors such as FMCG provided limited support to the indices. Select consumption stocks saw buying interest as investors rotated towards stability.
Auto stocks remained mixed due to valuation concerns, while metal stocks lacked direction amid uncertain global demand outlook.
Market breadth was mixed today, indicating stock specific action rather than broad based selling. While frontline indices closed in the red, select midcap and smallcap stocks continued to attract interest.
This suggests that investors are not exiting the market but are reallocating capital selectively, focusing on quality stocks with strong earnings visibility.
From a global perspective, investors remained cautious ahead of key economic data releases from the United States and Europe. Expectations around future interest rate decisions by global central banks kept risk appetite in check.
Domestically, markets are digesting recent macro data and positioning ahead of upcoming quarterly earnings updates. The absence of strong triggers led to a consolidation driven session.
Regulatory stability from SEBI and continued focus on transparency in Indian capital markets continues to provide long term confidence, even during short term volatility.
Today’s mild correction does not alter the broader bullish trend of Indian equities. Instead, it highlights the importance of disciplined investing and avoiding emotional reactions to short term movements.
For long term investors, such sessions often provide opportunities to review portfolios, rebalance allocations, and focus on fundamentally strong companies.
Traders should remain cautious, respecting support and resistance levels while keeping an eye on global developments.
In volatile and range bound markets like today, having the right research and advisory support becomes crucial. Swastika Investmart, a SEBI registered stockbroker, empowers investors with:
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• Advanced trading platforms with real time insights
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Such an ecosystem helps investors stay prepared, even when markets move sideways or turn volatile.
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The market closed lower due to cautious global cues, profit booking in banking stocks, and lack of strong domestic triggers.
No. The decline was marginal and reflects consolidation rather than a trend reversal.
Bank Nifty underperformed slightly, closing down 0.18 percent due to pressure in banking stocks.
Investors should stay disciplined, avoid panic selling, and focus on quality stocks aligned with their goals.
Swastika Investmart provides research backed insights, reliable platforms, and expert support to help investors navigate uncertain markets.
The Indian stock market closing today, 17 December 2025, reflects a healthy pause after recent gains. With Nifty, Sensex, and Bank Nifty ending slightly lower, the session reinforces the need for patience and informed decision making.
Markets do not move in straight lines, and periods of consolidation often lay the foundation for the next directional move. Staying connected to credible research, strong platforms, and expert guidance can make a significant difference.
If you are looking to invest or trade with confidence in evolving market conditions, consider opening your account with Swastika Investmart and experience research driven, tech enabled investing.
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In India, cinema is not just entertainment, it is also a business that directly influences stock prices. Whenever a big-budget movie delivers strong opening numbers, multiplex stocks often move in tandem. The recent success of Dhurandhar has once again put PVR Inox in the spotlight, with investors debating whether this marks a genuine revival or just a brief relief rally.
For shareholders and market participants, the real task is to separate box office excitement from long-term fundamentals. History suggests that while blockbusters can revive sentiment, sustainable gains depend on much deeper factors.
Dhurandhar has attracted strong footfalls across major urban centres, particularly during opening weeks. For PVR Inox, higher occupancy directly translates into better revenue visibility.
The immediate impact includes:
Multiplex businesses are highly sensitive to content performance. When audiences turn up in large numbers, even a few weeks of strong occupancy can materially improve quarterly performance.
While the near-term impact is visible, investors must remember that the multiplex business is cyclical. Over the past few years, PVR Inox has faced:
A single successful movie, even a blockbuster, cannot offset structural challenges unless it is followed by a steady stream of strong releases. True recovery comes when footfalls remain consistent across quarters, not just during marquee releases.
From a financial perspective, Dhurandhar helps PVR Inox improve:
However, the multiplex model has high fixed costs such as rentals, salaries, and maintenance. These costs do not decline during weak content phases. As a result, earnings volatility remains high unless content performance stabilises.
For investors, this means that one strong quarter does not automatically change the long-term earnings trajectory.
PVR Inox, after industry consolidation, enjoys a dominant position in India’s multiplex space. This scale provides advantages in negotiations with distributors and access to premium formats.
At the same time, the stock is sensitive to sentiment due to:
The Dhurandhar effect needs to be viewed in the context of broader industry recovery rather than as a standalone trigger.
For long-term investors, the focus should be on indicators beyond a single film’s success:
If Dhurandhar is followed by multiple successful releases, sentiment could sustain. Otherwise, the stock may revert to tracking broader discretionary spending trends.
The exhibition industry operates under state-level regulations related to ticket pricing and local taxes. While there are no immediate regulatory changes impacting PVR Inox, policy clarity remains important for margin stability.
Additionally, content release strategies are evolving as producers balance theatrical releases with digital platforms. This dynamic continues to influence footfall trends.
Rather than reacting to weekend box office numbers, investors should adopt a disciplined approach:
Multiplex stocks tend to reward patience during periods of consistent content performance rather than short-lived spikes.
Analysing consumer-facing businesses like multiplex operators requires context and continuous tracking. Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered stockbroker, empowers investors with:
This helps investors look beyond headlines and stay focused on fundamentals.
Dhurandhar has clearly delivered a near-term boost to PVR Inox by driving footfalls and improving sentiment. However, whether this translates into a sustainable revival will depend on content consistency, cost control, and evolving audience behaviour.
For investors, Dhurandhar should be treated as a positive data point, not a definitive turning point. Long-term outcomes will be shaped by execution, not excitement.
If you want to track such market-moving events with clarity and confidence, choose a platform that combines research, technology, and investor-first practices.
How does a blockbuster movie impact PVR Inox’s performance?
A successful movie increases occupancy and food and beverage sales, improving short-term revenues and margins.
Is Dhurandhar enough to ensure long-term recovery for PVR Inox?
No. Sustained recovery requires a consistent pipeline of successful films and disciplined cost management.
Why do multiplex stocks react quickly to movie releases?
Because revenues are directly linked to footfalls, opening weekend trends often influence investor sentiment.
What are the key risks for PVR Inox investors?
Content inconsistency, high fixed costs, and competition from digital platforms remain key risks.
Should long-term investors focus on single-film performance?
No. Long-term investors should prioritise quarterly trends and structural fundamentals over one-off successes.

The Indian Rupee is one of the most closely tracked macro indicators in the financial markets. Even small movements in the USD-INR exchange rate influence inflation, foreign investment flows, corporate earnings, and stock market sentiment.
In FY2025–26, the Rupee has remained under depreciation pressure, raising concerns among investors and import-dependent businesses. However, this weakness is not a standalone event. It reflects a combination of global developments, trade dynamics, and capital flow trends that are shaping most emerging market currencies.
Understanding these drivers is essential before drawing conclusions or reacting emotionally to currency headlines.
One of the primary reasons behind the Rupee’s weakness in FY2025–26 is the widening trade deficit. When a country imports more goods and services than it exports, the demand for foreign currency increases, putting pressure on the domestic currency.
India’s trade deficit has been influenced by:
Since crude oil is priced in dollars, even moderate price increases directly increase India’s dollar demand. This structural factor continues to weigh on the Rupee despite healthy domestic consumption.
Capital flows play a crucial role in offsetting trade deficits. In FY2025–26, support from the capital account has been relatively weak and uneven.
Foreign Portfolio Investors have shown selective risk appetite, influenced by:
While foreign direct investment inflows remain stable in the long term, portfolio flows tend to be more sensitive to global interest rate cycles. This has reduced near-term dollar inflows, adding pressure on the Rupee.
The Rupee’s movement cannot be analysed in isolation. Global factors have played a decisive role.
Key global drivers include:
When the dollar strengthens globally, most emerging market currencies face depreciation pressure. In this context, the Rupee’s movement has been relatively orderly compared to peers.
A common misconception among retail investors is that the RBI targets a specific exchange rate. In reality, the Rupee is market-determined, with no fixed band or level.
The Reserve Bank of India:
In FY2025–26, RBI has taken several steps to support foreign exchange inflows and improve liquidity, including easing export credit norms, extending timelines for forex outflows in trade transactions, and allowing better utilisation of Special Rupee Vostro accounts.
These measures aim to improve dollar availability without distorting market pricing.
A depreciating Rupee has both positives and negatives for Indian markets.
Potential benefits include:
However, challenges remain:
For investors, sectoral impact matters more than the headline currency number.
Instead of reacting to daily currency movements, investors should focus on fundamentals and asset allocation.
Practical steps include:
Currency cycles tend to be mean-reverting over the long term, especially for economies with strong growth prospects like India.
Macro events such as currency movements require context-driven analysis rather than speculation. Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered stockbroker, empowers investors with:
This structured approach helps investors stay disciplined even during volatile phases.
The Indian Rupee’s weakness in FY2025–26 is largely driven by global forces, trade dynamics, and capital flow trends rather than domestic instability. RBI’s calibrated approach has ensured orderly market conditions without artificial intervention.
For long-term investors, currency movements should be viewed as part of a broader macro cycle, not as standalone signals. Staying informed, diversified, and research-focused remains the most effective strategy.
Why is the Indian Rupee weakening in FY2025–26?
The weakness is due to a combination of trade deficit expansion, uneven capital flows, global dollar strength, and higher commodity import costs.
Does RBI control the Rupee’s exchange rate?
No. The Rupee is market-determined. RBI intervenes only to manage excessive volatility.
Is a weak Rupee bad for Indian investors?
Not always. Export-oriented sectors may benefit, while import-heavy businesses may face cost pressure.
Will the Rupee continue to depreciate?
Currency movements depend on global and domestic factors. Long-term trends are influenced by growth, inflation, and capital flows.
How can investors protect against currency volatility?
Diversification, long-term investing, and sector-aware strategies help manage currency-related risks.

Corporate demergers are often viewed as catalysts for value unlocking in Indian equity markets, especially when large and complex conglomerates are involved. Vedanta’s long-awaited restructuring plan has now crossed a crucial milestone, with the National Company Law Tribunal granting approval for its demerger into five independent listed entities.
The announcement marks a turning point for the oil-to-metals major, which has faced investor concerns around debt, complexity, and transparency in recent years. With regulatory clearance now in place, investors are shifting focus from approval risk to execution and long-term value creation.
Vedanta will demerge its diversified operations into five separate companies, each focused on a distinct business vertical. These include aluminium, oil and gas, zinc, iron ore and steel, and power.
Once the demerger is completed:
The NCLT approval follows earlier concerns raised by government authorities regarding the recovery of outstanding dues. These concerns were addressed during the approval process, paving the way for restructuring.
Large conglomerates often trade at a discount due to complexity and capital allocation inefficiencies. Vedanta’s businesses span commodities with very different risk profiles, cash flows, and investment cycles.
By splitting into focused entities, Vedanta aims to:
Similar value-unlocking attempts have been seen earlier in Indian markets, such as Tata Group’s restructuring initiatives and conglomerate simplification strategies adopted globally.
For current shareholders, the demerger does not require any action. Shares will be credited automatically once the process is completed.
Key implications include:
However, it is important to note that a demerger itself does not create value overnight. Market perception, earnings visibility, and balance sheet strength of each new entity will drive long-term returns.
One of the biggest investor concerns around Vedanta has been leverage. Post-demerger, how debt is allocated across the five companies will be critical.
Investors should closely track:
Commodity cycles can be volatile, and companies with weaker balance sheets may face pressure during downturns. This makes post-demerger financial discipline a crucial factor.
Demerger announcements often trigger short-term volatility as markets reassess valuations and future earnings. Over the medium term, stocks tend to stabilise once clarity emerges on financials, management strategy, and capital structure.
For Indian markets, Vedanta’s move reinforces a broader trend of corporate simplification and governance-led restructuring. Regulators such as SEBI and NCLT continue to play a vital role in ensuring shareholder interests are protected during such transitions.
Instead of reacting to price movements alone, investors should adopt a structured approach:
This is where research-backed investing becomes essential, as interpreting complex corporate actions requires experience and sector understanding.
Navigating corporate restructurings like Vedanta’s demerger can be challenging for retail investors. Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered stockbroker, supports investors with:
Rather than relying on headlines, investors benefit from structured insights and professional research frameworks.
The NCLT approval removes a major regulatory overhang for Vedanta. While the demerger has the potential to unlock value and improve transparency, its success will depend on execution, balance sheet strength, and governance across the new entities.
For long-term investors, this restructuring marks the beginning of a new phase rather than an end result. Careful monitoring and disciplined investing will be key.
If you want to track such high-impact corporate actions with clarity and confidence, consider investing through a platform that combines research, technology, and investor-first practices.
What is Vedanta’s demerger plan?
Vedanta plans to split into five separately listed companies, each focused on a specific business segment.
Do shareholders need to apply for new shares?
No, existing shareholders will automatically receive shares in all demerged entities.
Will the demerger reduce Vedanta’s debt?
The demerger itself does not reduce debt. How debt is allocated and managed post split is crucial.
Is the demerger positive for stock price?
It can unlock value over time, but short-term price movement depends on market sentiment and execution clarity.
When will the demerger be completed?
Timelines will depend on regulatory filings and operational readiness, which the company will communicate.

In Indian equity markets, few disclosures trigger instant panic like the words “promoter stake sale”. Retail investors often associate promoter selling with weakening confidence, business stress, or future dilution. While this fear is understandable, it is not always accurate.
The recent announcement involving Ola Electric founder Bhavesh Agarwal offers a textbook case of why investors must look beyond headlines. A one-time monetisation of a small portion of his personal stake was undertaken to fully repay a Rs 260-crore promoter-level loan. This move resulted in the release of all previously pledged 3.93 percent shares, while the promoter continues to hold nearly 34 percent stake.
So the key question remains: should investors really worry?
Before drawing conclusions, it is important to understand what actually happened.
Bhavesh Agarwal monetised a limited part of his personal shareholding to repay a loan that was taken at the promoter level. This was not a fundraise by Ola Electric, nor was it linked to operational cash flow needs or business stress.
More importantly, the transaction led to the complete removal of pledged shares. Promoter pledging is often viewed negatively in Indian markets because it can amplify downside risk during periods of stock volatility.
Post the transaction:
This distinction between promoter-level financial housekeeping and company-level distress is critical for investors.
In India, SEBI disclosures require promoters to report both shareholding changes and pledging activity. However, markets often react more sharply to pledges than to outright stake sales.
Promoter pledging can become risky when:
By eliminating all pledges, Ola Electric’s promoter has reduced a key structural risk. This is generally viewed as a governance-positive step, even if it involves limited stake monetisation.
In contrast, a gradual reduction in promoter holding without clarity on usage of funds or intent may raise concerns. In this case, the purpose was clearly stated and time-bound.
Not necessarily.
There are multiple real-world examples in Indian markets where promoter stake sales did not hurt long-term shareholder value. Promoters sell stakes for reasons such as:
The key factors investors should evaluate include:
In Ola Electric’s case, the promoter continues to remain deeply invested with a significant ownership stake and has reiterated long-term conviction in the business.
From a market perspective, such announcements often create short-term volatility. Algorithmic trades and headline-driven reactions can pressure the stock briefly, even when fundamentals remain intact.
However, over the medium to long term, markets tend to reward:
By eliminating promoter pledges, Ola Electric potentially improves investor perception, especially among institutional investors who closely track pledge levels as part of risk assessment.
SEBI’s disclosure norms around promoter transactions aim to ensure transparency and protect retail investors. Clear communication regarding the nature, purpose, and impact of such transactions plays a vital role in shaping market confidence.
Ola Electric’s disclosure clearly stated:
Such clarity reduces speculation and aligns with good corporate governance practices encouraged by Indian regulators.
Instead of reacting emotionally, investors should ask structured questions:
A single data point should never outweigh long-term fundamentals, execution capability, and industry outlook.
For electric vehicle companies like Ola Electric, investors should continue to track factors such as market share, cost control, product pipeline, and regulatory developments in India’s EV ecosystem.
Interpreting corporate actions correctly requires experience, data, and context. This is where a research-driven approach becomes essential.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered stockbroker, supports investors with:
Rather than reacting to headlines, informed investors rely on structured insights and professional research tools.
The Ola Electric case highlights why promoter stake sales should not be viewed in isolation. A one-time monetisation to eliminate pledges, without loss of control or dilution of conviction, is not inherently negative.
For long-term investors, this development appears more like risk reduction than a red flag. As always, sustained business execution will matter far more than short-term shareholding adjustments.
If you want to track such corporate actions with clarity and confidence, consider investing with a platform that prioritises research, transparency, and investor education.
Is promoter stake sale always bad for a stock?
No. It depends on intent, size, frequency, and whether control is retained.
Did Ola Electric raise funds through this transaction?
No. The transaction was executed entirely at the promoter’s personal level.
What happens when promoter pledges are removed?
It reduces the risk of forced selling and lowers stock volatility during market stress.
Should retail investors exit when promoters sell shares?
Not automatically. Investors should analyse the context and company fundamentals.
Does this impact Ola Electric’s long-term prospects?
There is no direct operational or strategic impact from this transaction.


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• Financials, autos, and defence stocks dominated the gainers list
• IT stocks clearly underperformed and dragged the losers pack
• Sectoral rotation played a bigger role than overall market direction
• Stock-specific fundamentals mattered more than index movement
The last one year in the Indian equity markets has been a perfect example of how stock selection can make or break returns. While Nifty moved higher in phases, individual stocks showed extreme divergence. Some stocks delivered near 50 percent returns, while others corrected sharply despite being index heavyweights.
This sharp contrast makes it important to study Nifty’s top 5 gainers and losers of the last one year and understand what actually drove these moves. The insights are especially relevant for retail investors who often assume index stocks move together.
Indian markets over the past year saw a mix of strong domestic growth, sector rotation, and changing global cues. Capital flowed into sectors linked to consumption, defence, and financial services, while export-oriented IT stocks faced pressure.
What stood out was that leadership changed within the index itself. Defensive names struggled, while growth-focused businesses rewarded investors handsomely.
Bajaj Finance moved from around 694 to over 1009, delivering a return of about 45 percent. The stock benefited from consistent performance in retail lending, improving asset quality, and strong investor confidence in the NBFC space.
As credit demand stayed healthy and risk concerns eased, investors were willing to pay a premium for predictable growth.
Maruti Suzuki surged roughly 46 percent over the year, rising from about 11209 to 16377. Strong demand for passenger vehicles, better product mix, and improved margins helped the stock outperform.
The rally highlighted how consumption-led themes continued to attract long-term investors despite concerns around input costs.
Shriram Finance delivered close to 47 percent returns, moving from about 583 to nearly 859. The company gained from robust demand in the commercial vehicle financing space and improving profitability metrics.
This performance underlined the market’s preference for well-managed lenders with niche dominance.
Eicher Motors also rose around 47 percent, climbing from approximately 4885 to 7190. Strong Royal Enfield sales, improving exports, and operating leverage played a major role.
The stock reflected how brand strength and execution can drive rerating even in a competitive auto market.
Bharat Electronics gained about 33 percent, moving from around 294 to 390. The stock benefited from steady defence-related orders and positive sentiment towards indigenous manufacturing.
This performance showed how policy-driven sectors can generate stable returns during uncertain global conditions.
| S. No. | Top Gainer Stock Name | Price on 01/01/2025 | Price on 19/12/2025 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bajaj Finance Ltd | 693.97 | 1009.10 | 45% |
| 2 | Maruti Suzuki India Ltd | 11208.30 | 16377.00 | 46% |
| 3 | Shriram Finance Ltd | 583.75 | 858.80 | 47% |
| 4 | Eicher Motors Ltd | 4885.30 | 7190.00 | 47% |
| 5 | Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL) | 293.90 | 390.10 | 33% |
| 6 | SBI Life Insurance | 1400.40 | 2017.30 | 44% |
The common thread among gainers was earnings visibility and sectoral tailwinds. Financials benefited from credit growth, autos from domestic demand, and defence from structural government support.
Importantly, these stocks rewarded patience rather than short-term trading.
Trent was the biggest loser, falling nearly 43 percent from around 7068 to 4032. After strong previous rallies, the stock saw profit booking and valuation correction.
This highlighted how even quality retail stories can correct sharply when expectations run too far ahead.
TCS declined about 19.5 percent, dropping from roughly 4112 to 3311. Slower global IT spending and cautious client outlook impacted the stock.
Despite being a market leader, sentiment turned negative as growth visibility weakened.
Infosys fell around 12.4 percent over the year, moving from about 1883 to 1649. Deal delays and margin concerns weighed on investor confidence.
The correction showed that size does not guarantee downside protection.
HCL Tech declined nearly 13.9 percent, from around 1912 to 1646. Pressure on discretionary tech spending and sector-wide concerns played a role.
Wipro slipped close to 11.8 percent, falling from about 300 to 265. Weak revenue growth outlook kept the stock under pressure.
| S. No. | Top 5 Losers Stock Name | Price (Earlier) | Price (Latest) | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trent Ltd. | 7068.05 | 4032.20 | -42.95% |
| 2 | TCS | 4112.45 | 3310.60 | -19.50% |
| 3 | Infosys Ltd. | 1882.50 | 1648.90 | -12.41% |
| 4 | HCL Tech Ltd. | 1911.95 | 1646.20 | -13.90% |
| 5 | Wipro Ltd. | 300.30 | 264.75 | -11.84% |
| 6 | ITC | 456.80 | 400.95 | -12.23% |
| 7 | Power Grid | 310.40 | 260.20 | -16.17% |
The IT sector faced multiple headwinds. Global clients cut discretionary budgets, deal closures slowed, and currency benefits failed to offset growth concerns.
This resulted in a clear underperformance of IT stocks within Nifty, despite their heavyweight status.
For investors, this one-year period reinforced a key lesson. Index investing provides stability, but alpha comes from understanding sector cycles and company fundamentals.
The divergence between gainers and losers also highlighted why risk management and portfolio diversification are critical.
When markets show such sharp contrasts, relying on headlines alone can be costly. Research-driven investing helps identify when momentum is backed by fundamentals and when corrections are driven by structural issues.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered brokerage, supports investors with strong research tools, sector insights, and technology-driven platforms. Their focus on investor education and responsive customer support helps investors stay disciplined during volatile phases.
Why did financial stocks outperform the market?
Financial stocks benefited from strong credit demand, improving balance sheets, and better earnings visibility.
Why did IT stocks fall despite being large companies?
Slower global spending and weak growth outlook impacted sentiment across the IT sector.
Does one year performance decide long-term potential?
No. One-year performance reflects cycles. Long-term returns depend on consistent fundamentals.
Should investors avoid underperforming stocks?
Not necessarily. Some corrections create opportunities, but only after proper analysis.
How can retail investors manage such market extremes?
By diversifying portfolios, tracking fundamentals, and using research-backed platforms.
Nifty’s top 5 gainers and losers of the last one year clearly show that markets reward clarity and punish uncertainty. Sector rotation, earnings visibility, and valuations played a bigger role than overall index movement.
For investors, the takeaway is simple. Stay informed, stay selective, and stay disciplined.
If you want to invest with structured research, smart tools, and professional support, consider Swastika Investmart.

• Large-cap indices showed relative stability while mid and small caps saw sharper swings
• Sector-specific indices reflected clear rotation during the year
• Broader markets rewarded selective stock picking, not blanket investing
• Index behaviour highlights the importance of asset allocation and discipline
The Indian stock market rarely moves in a straight line, and this year was a clear reminder of that reality. While headline indices often grab attention, a closer look shows that different indices behaved very differently. Some rewarded patience, others tested investor nerves, and a few quietly outperformed without much noise.
Understanding how Indian stock market indices behaved this year is not just an academic exercise. It offers practical lessons for investors on diversification, risk management, and expectations. Let us break it down in a simple, investor-friendly way.
This year was shaped by a mix of domestic strength and global uncertainty. India’s economy remained resilient, supported by consumption, government spending, and stable banking health. At the same time, global cues like interest rate uncertainty and uneven growth kept volatility alive.
Against this backdrop, Indian indices did not move in sync. Performance depended heavily on market capitalisation, sector exposure, and earnings visibility.
Large-cap indices like Nifty and Sensex showed relatively steady movement through the year. While there were periods of correction, sharp crashes were largely avoided.
This stability came from strong balance sheets, predictable earnings, and leadership from sectors like financials, autos, and select industrials. For many long-term investors, large-cap indices acted as shock absorbers during volatile phases.
Large-cap indices may not always deliver eye-catching returns in a single year, but they provide consistency. Investors relying on these indices for core portfolio allocation benefited from lower volatility and smoother returns.
Midcap indices experienced higher volatility compared to large caps. There were phases of strong rallies driven by earnings optimism and liquidity flows. However, these rallies were often followed by sharp corrections when valuations stretched.
This behaviour reminded investors that midcaps amplify both opportunity and risk.
Midcap exposure needs discipline. Chasing momentum without valuation comfort proved costly for some investors. Those who focused on quality midcap businesses with earnings visibility fared better.
Small cap indices showed the widest swings this year. Periods of strong optimism were followed by equally strong sell-offs. Liquidity-driven moves played a major role, making price action more emotional than fundamental at times.
Retail participation was high, which added to volatility.
Small caps demand patience and strong research. Blind diversification within small caps did not work. Investors who treated small caps as long-term bets rather than quick trades managed risk better.
Financial and auto-related indices showed relative strength during the year. Stable demand, improving margins, and regulatory comfort supported these sectors.
Banks and NBFCs benefited from credit growth and healthy balance sheets, while auto companies gained from steady domestic consumption.
IT indices faced pressure due to global demand slowdown and cautious client spending. Defensive sectors also underperformed in phases when risk appetite improved.
This divergence highlighted how sector cycles matter as much as overall market direction.
One key takeaway from this year is that Indian markets are becoming more selective. Index-level movement no longer tells the full story.
SEBI’s continuous focus on transparency, governance, and investor protection has strengthened market depth. As a result, stock-specific fundamentals are playing a bigger role than broad market sentiment.
For investors, this means passive investing alone may not capture all opportunities.
Different indices serve different purposes. Large caps provide stability, midcaps offer growth, and small caps add optional upside. A balanced allocation helps smooth returns across cycles.
Many investors assume index returns reflect their portfolio returns. This year showed that stock selection within indices can lead to very different outcomes.
With divergence across indices and sectors, research-backed investing becomes critical. Understanding earnings quality, valuations, and sector trends helps avoid emotional decisions.
In a market where indices move differently, investors need more than basic tools. They need insights, timely analysis, and guidance.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered brokerage, supports investors with strong research capabilities, tech-enabled trading platforms, and a focus on investor education. Their customer support and analytical tools help investors interpret market trends rather than react to them.
Whether you are tracking index performance or building a diversified portfolio, access to reliable research adds confidence.
Why do different indices behave differently in the same year?
Because each index represents a different set of companies, sectors, and risk profiles.
Is investing only in Nifty enough?
Nifty provides stability, but combining it with selective mid and small-cap exposure can improve long-term returns.
Are sectoral indices useful for retail investors?
Yes, they help understand sector trends, but direct investing requires timing and research.
Does volatility mean markets are weak?
Not necessarily. Volatility often reflects changing expectations rather than poor fundamentals.
How should new investors use index data?
As a guide for allocation and risk understanding, not as the sole basis for stock selection.
This year clearly showed that Indian stock market indices do not move as one. Each index told a different story, shaped by fundamentals, liquidity, and investor behaviour.
For investors, the lesson is simple. Respect market cycles, diversify wisely, and rely on research rather than noise.
If you are looking to invest with clarity, technology, and professional research support, consider Swastika Investmart.
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Indian equity markets ended the session on 24 December 2025 on a weak note, giving up intraday gains amid profit booking and cautious sentiment across sectors.
Despite a stable start and a positive mid-day move on 24 December 2025, benchmark indices failed to sustain higher levels and slipped into negative territory by the closing bell.
The market began the day on 24 December 2025 with a mixed opening, reflecting cautious global cues and selective stock action.
• Nifty 50 opened at 26,170.65, marginally lower by 0.02 percent
• Bank Nifty opened at 59,322.95, up 0.04 percent
Early trade saw limited momentum as investors remained watchful amid global and domestic cues.
By mid-session on 24 December 2025, markets showed signs of recovery supported by buying interest in select heavyweight stocks.
• Nifty 50 traded at 26,189.80, up 0.05 percent
• Bank Nifty traded at 59,316.70, up 0.03 percent
The recovery was driven by short covering and selective accumulation, though volumes remained moderate.
As the session progressed on 24 December 2025, selling pressure emerged at higher levels, leading to a reversal in benchmark indices.
• Nifty 50 closed at 26,142.10, down 0.13 percent
• Nifty Bank closed at 59,183.60, down 0.20 percent
Late-session profit booking in banking and heavyweight stocks weighed on overall market sentiment.
Several factors influenced market movement on 24 December 2025:
• Profit booking after recent gains
• Lack of strong global cues
• Cautious positioning ahead of upcoming macro events
• Stock-specific selling in banking and frontline stocks
Despite intraday recovery, markets lacked fresh triggers to sustain upward momentum.
Sector performance remained mixed throughout the session:
• Banking stocks saw mild selling pressure
• IT stocks traded cautiously
• FMCG remained relatively stable
• Auto and metal stocks witnessed selective activity
Broader markets also traded with mild volatility, indicating cautious participation.
The market continues to consolidate near higher levels after the session on 24 December 2025. While the long-term structure remains intact, short-term volatility may persist.
Key factors to watch in upcoming sessions include:
• Global market trends
• FII and DII activity
• Movement in banking and heavyweight stocks
• Key technical support and resistance levels
Swastika Investmart supports traders and investors with:
• Real-time market insights
• Research-backed trading views
• Advanced, tech-enabled trading platforms
• Dedicated customer support
Our SEBI-compliant approach ensures informed and disciplined decision-making across market conditions.
The trading session on 24 December 2025 highlighted the importance of caution at higher levels. Despite intraday recovery, benchmark indices closed lower due to profit booking.
As markets consolidate, a stock-specific and risk-managed approach remains key.
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Indian equity markets closed on a positive note on Friday, 19 December 2025, extending their upward momentum for the second consecutive session. Buying interest across banking, financials, and select heavyweight stocks helped benchmark indices end near the day’s highs.
The overall tone of the market remained optimistic, supported by stable global cues, steady institutional participation, and expectations of continued economic growth in India.
At the closing bell, benchmark indices posted healthy gains:
Markets opened on a firm note and gradually moved higher as buying interest picked up during the mid-session, especially in banking and large-cap stocks.
The session began with cautious optimism. Early trade saw Nifty 50 hovering around 25,911, while Bank Nifty traded near 59,047. Gradual accumulation by institutional investors helped indices inch higher.
By mid-session, markets consolidated gains without major profit booking. This phase reflected confidence among participants despite year-end volatility typically seen in December.
In the final hour, fresh buying lifted indices to close near the day’s highs. Nifty 50 traded around 25,957, while Bank Nifty crossed 59,020, confirming strong intraday support levels.
Banking stocks remained the backbone of today’s rally. Private sector banks and select PSU banks attracted buying interest, supporting Bank Nifty’s steady performance near record territory.
Heavyweights across FMCG, IT, and capital goods sectors contributed to market stability. Investors preferred quality large-cap stocks amid ongoing global uncertainties.
Mid-cap and small-cap stocks traded with a positive bias, indicating healthy risk appetite. Market breadth favored advancers, suggesting broad-based participation rather than a narrow rally.
Several factors influenced the positive close:
With inflation largely under control and corporate earnings visibility improving, investor confidence remains intact.
For short-term traders, today’s close above key levels reinforces a positive trend, especially in banking and index heavyweights.
For long-term investors, the steady rise reflects confidence in India’s growth story. Phased investing and disciplined allocation continue to remain sensible strategies in current market conditions.
SEBI-regulated market frameworks and transparent disclosures continue to strengthen trust among retail investors participating through digital platforms.
In markets like today, where momentum builds gradually, having access to reliable research and real-time insights becomes crucial.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered stockbroker, supports investors through:
This combination helps investors make informed decisions rather than emotional ones.
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Why did the Indian stock market close higher today?
Positive global cues, banking sector strength, and steady institutional buying helped markets end higher.
What was the closing level of Nifty 50 today?
Nifty 50 closed at 25,966.40 on 19 December 2025.
How did Bank Nifty perform today?
Bank Nifty ended at 59,069.20, maintaining strength near record levels.
Is the market trend bullish after today’s close?
The trend remains positive, but investors should stay cautious of short-term volatility.
Should investors enter the market at current levels?
A staggered investment approach with proper research is generally advisable.
The market closing today on 19 December 2025 reflects sustained optimism in Indian equities. With Nifty, Sensex, and Bank Nifty holding strong levels, sentiment remains constructive heading into the final trading days of the year.
For investors looking to participate confidently in India’s growth journey, combining disciplined strategies with expert research is key.
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Invest smart. Invest informed.

Artificial Intelligence has become the most talked-about force in global markets. From Silicon Valley to Dalal Street, investors are debating one big question. Will AI reduce the need for traditional IT services or will it create a new wave of demand? Against this backdrop, a fresh theme is gaining attention. The anti-AI trade.
In simple terms, an anti-AI trade means betting on sectors that may benefit if AI adoption is slower, regulated, or more expensive than expected. For Indian investors, this brings Indian IT companies into sharp focus. By 2026, could Indian IT stocks act as a hedge against overhyped AI narratives?
Let us break this down in a practical, market-focused way.
AI promises automation, faster coding, and lower costs. Global tech giants are investing billions to reduce dependence on large human workforces. At first glance, this looks negative for IT services companies.
But markets often move in cycles. When expectations run too far ahead of reality, counter-trends emerge.
An anti-AI trade assumes three possibilities.
First, AI implementation is slower than expected due to regulatory and ethical constraints.
Second, AI raises costs instead of reducing them, especially for enterprise clients.
Third, businesses still need humans to manage, customise, and secure AI systems.
If any of these play out, traditional IT services could regain relevance.
Indian IT companies like TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCLTech, and Tech Mahindra are deeply integrated into global enterprise systems. They are not just coding shops anymore.
They handle legacy system maintenance, cloud migration, cybersecurity, compliance, and now AI integration itself.
For example, a large US bank may experiment with AI-driven customer support. But it still needs an Indian IT firm to integrate AI with its core banking systems, ensure data privacy, and meet regulatory norms. AI does not work in isolation.
This is where Indian IT’s real strength lies.
Despite AI tools, global companies remain cost-sensitive. Indian IT offers scalable talent at competitive costs. Even if AI reduces coding time, enterprises still prefer outsourcing execution and maintenance.
In a slow global growth environment, CFOs focus on cost control. That directly supports Indian IT spending.
India, the EU, and even the US are discussing stricter AI regulations. Data privacy laws, sector-specific compliance, and accountability frameworks can slow full-scale AI rollout.
Indian IT firms already operate in regulated environments like BFSI and healthcare. They understand compliance better than pure AI startups.
If regulation tightens, enterprises may rely more on trusted IT vendors instead of experimenting aggressively.
AI-generated code still needs validation, testing, and security checks. Enterprises cannot risk mission-critical systems on unchecked automation.
Indian IT companies are positioning themselves as AI partners rather than AI victims. Many are training employees to work alongside AI tools, not against them.
This hybrid model could support stable revenue growth.
A balanced view is important.
If AI tools become extremely efficient and easy to deploy, some low-end IT services may face pricing pressure. Margins could compress if companies fail to move up the value chain.
Also, large global clients may delay discretionary IT spending during economic uncertainty. This affects short-term revenue visibility.
Hence, Indian IT as an anti-AI trade is not a blanket bet. It is a selective opportunity.
Indian IT stocks have historically acted as defensives during global slowdowns. In 2026, if AI-led tech stocks correct globally due to high expectations, Indian IT could attract value-focused investors.
Domestic mutual funds, FIIs, and long-term investors may rotate into predictable cash-flow businesses. SEBI’s emphasis on transparency and governance also adds comfort for institutional investors.
This does not mean explosive rallies. Instead, steady returns, dividend yield, and lower volatility could be the appeal.
Instead of chasing headlines, investors should focus on fundamentals.
Look for companies with strong client diversification, high deal wins, and clear AI strategy. Track order books, attrition trends, and management commentary.
This is where research-backed platforms make a difference.
In theme-based investing like the anti-AI trade, timing and stock selection are crucial. Blind optimism or fear can hurt returns.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered brokerage, stands out with its strong research ecosystem, tech-enabled platforms, and investor education focus. Their detailed reports, sector insights, and responsive customer support help investors navigate evolving market themes with clarity.
Whether you are a long-term investor or a short-term trader, access to reliable research tools can help separate noise from opportunity.
AI is more of a transformation tool than a direct threat. Indian IT firms are adapting by offering AI integration and management services.
It refers to investing in sectors that may benefit if AI adoption is slower or less disruptive than expected.
Yes, especially companies with strong fundamentals, diversified clients, and clear AI strategies.
Historically, yes. They often provide stability during global economic uncertainty.
No. Stock selection and timing matter. Research-driven decisions are essential.
The idea of Indian IT as an anti-AI trade in 2026 is not about rejecting AI. It is about recognising market cycles, regulatory realities, and human dependency in technology.
Indian IT companies are evolving, not disappearing. For investors, this theme offers stability rather than excitement. And in uncertain times, stability often wins.
If you want to explore such themes with structured research and professional support, consider investing with Swastika Investmart.
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The IPO market in India in 2025 remained one of the most closely watched segments of the equity market. With strong domestic participation, rising demat accounts, and easy access to online investing, IPOs continued to attract massive attention from retail investors.
However, 2025 was also a reality check. While some IPOs delivered impressive listing gains, others struggled to hold their issue price. This divergence made one thing clear, IPO investing is no longer about blind subscriptions but informed decision-making.
As we step into 2026, understanding last year’s IPO performance becomes critical for navigating the primary market ahead.
Despite global macro uncertainties, India’s primary market stayed resilient in 2025. Several companies tapped the capital markets to fund expansion, deleverage balance sheets, and provide exits to early investors.
Key trends observed:
While subscription numbers remained healthy, post-listing performance became the real differentiator.
Some IPOs stood out by delivering strong listing gains, rewarding investors who focused on fundamentals rather than hype.
These IPOs benefited from:
Such listings reinforced the idea that quality businesses still command a premium in the IPO market.
Not all IPOs had a smooth debut. A few listings disappointed investors by opening below issue price or losing momentum shortly after listing.
Common red flags among weak IPOs:
These cases highlighted the importance of reading offer documents and understanding business fundamentals.
A closer IPO performance analysis reveals clear patterns.
Winning factors included:
Meanwhile, IPOs relying purely on market sentiment struggled once listing-day excitement faded.
SEBI continued to play a crucial role in shaping a healthier IPO ecosystem in 2025.
Key regulatory measures included:
These steps helped retail investors make better-informed decisions and reduced information asymmetry.
The IPO market in India 2026 is expected to be more selective but fundamentally stronger.
Likely trends:
Upcoming IPOs in India are expected to come from companies with proven business models rather than concept-stage stories.
IPO investing in 2026 will demand discipline and patience.
Smart investors should:
Using research-backed platforms and expert insights can significantly improve IPO selection quality.
Swastika Investmart, a SEBI-registered brokerage, supports investors with in-depth IPO analysis, timely updates, and investor education.
Key strengths include:
This empowers investors to participate in IPOs with clarity rather than speculation.
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Was 2025 a good year for IPO investors?
Yes, but selectively. Quality IPOs performed well, while overvalued listings underperformed.
Do IPO listing gains guarantee long-term returns?
No. Long-term performance depends on business growth, earnings, and governance.
Are SEBI regulations making IPOs safer?
Yes. SEBI’s tighter norms have improved transparency and reduced risks for retail investors.
What should investors focus on in the IPO market in India 2026?
Fundamentals, valuation discipline, and long-term business potential.
The IPO market in India in 2025 taught investors valuable lessons. Listing gains are no longer guaranteed, and blind optimism can be costly. As we move into 2026, IPO investing is evolving into a more mature, research-driven activity.
Investors who focus on quality, regulatory compliance, and long-term value creation will be better positioned to benefit from upcoming IPOs in India.
If you are planning to explore IPO opportunities through a SEBI-registered, research-focused platform, Swastika Investmart offers the tools and insights to help you invest with confidence.