Commodity trading has always been influenced by global supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and currency movements. In 2025, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is emerging as a game-changer in the Indian commodity markets—be it gold, silver, crude oil, or agri-commodities.
From forecasting prices to executing trades in milliseconds, AI-driven systems are helping both retail and institutional traders make smarter, faster, and more informed decisions.
✅ Faster & more accurate price forecasts
✅ Data-driven risk management strategies
✅ Removal of emotional trading biases
✅ Ability to process global data at scale
✅ Democratization of advanced tools for retail traders
⚠️ Overreliance on models can lead to risks in black swan events
⚠️ High infrastructure costs for HFT setups
⚠️ SEBI regulations require compliance in algo-trading
These insights help both professional traders and beginners position themselves strategically.
While global hedge funds use expensive AI tools, Swastika Investmart empowers Indian investors with:
✅ Start AI-Driven Commodity Trading with Swastika
📲 Download the Swastika App – Android | iOS
Q1. Can AI predict commodity prices with 100% accuracy?
No, AI improves probabilities but markets remain influenced by global shocks.
Q2. Is AI-based commodity trading allowed in India?
Yes, SEBI permits algo-trading under regulatory frameworks, ensuring transparency.
Q3. Can beginners use AI in commodity trading?
Yes, through AI-powered research platforms provided by brokers like Swastika.
Q4. Which commodities benefit most from AI analysis?
Gold, crude oil, silver, and agricultural products due to their volatility and global impact.
AI is reshaping commodity trading in India, offering traders predictive insights, automation, and improved efficiency. While risks remain, AI-driven trading is creating opportunities for both seasoned investors and retail traders.
With Swastika Investmart’s AI-powered research and SEBI-compliant platforms, Indian traders can embrace the future of commodity trading with confidence and precision.
Mutual funds have emerged as a popular investment option for people looking to grow their wealth. They offer the benefit of professional management, diversification, and the potential for attractive returns. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced investor, understanding the various types of mutual funds can help you make insightful decisions that align with your financial goals.
In this guide, we’ll explore the different types of mutual funds based on asset class, investment goals, risk appetite, and other factors.
These funds also include some subcategories which we will discuss below.
Equity mutual funds are primarily focused on investing in stocks. The main objective is capital appreciation over the long term. These funds are considered high-risk, but they also offer the potential for higher returns.
Debt mutual funds invest in fixed-income instruments like bonds, debentures, government securities, and treasury bills. They are less volatile than equity funds, making them ideal for conservative investors looking for steady income rather than aggressive growth.
Hybrid mutual funds, also known as balanced funds, invest in both equity and debt instruments, offering a balanced risk-return trade-off. These funds are suitable for investors looking for moderate risk with the potential for growth as well as regular income.
Index funds replicate the performance of a specific stock market index like the Nifty 50 or the Sensex. They offer diversification and are ideal for investors looking for long-term returns without the risk of active stock picking. Since these funds are passively managed, they come with lower expense ratios compared to actively managed funds.
Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are similar to index funds but are traded on the stock exchange like individual stocks. They offer the benefits of both mutual funds and direct stock trading, including diversification and liquidity. ETFs typically have lower expense ratios and can be bought or sold at any time during market hours.
Selecting the right mutual fund depends on various factors, including:
Understanding the different types of mutual funds is essential to making the right investment choices. Whether you're looking for aggressive growth through equity funds or stable returns via debt funds, there’s a mutual fund for every investor. By aligning your investment choices with your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon, you can build a portfolio that helps you achieve your financial objectives.
Welcome! Today, we’re going to explore the world of bonds, a key component of the financial markets. Bonds are essentially loans made by investors to borrowers, usually corporations or governments. In return, the borrower agrees to pay interest over a specified period and repay the principal at maturity. Let's break down the different types of bonds you might encounter.
Government bonds are issued by a national government and are considered one of the safest investments since they are backed by the government's credit. In India, these are known as Government Securities (G-Secs).
Corporate bonds are issued by companies to raise capital. They typically offer higher interest rates than government bonds to compensate for the increased risk.
Municipal bonds are issued by local government bodies, such as states or municipalities, to finance public projects like schools or infrastructure. These bonds often provide tax advantages to investors.
Zero-coupon bonds do not pay periodic interest. Instead, they are issued at a discount to their face value and mature at par. The difference between the purchase price and the face value represents the investor's return.
Convertible bonds offer the option to convert the bond into a predetermined number of the company's equity shares. This feature provides potential upside if the company's stock performs well.
These bonds are designed to protect investors from inflation. The principal and interest payments are adjusted based on inflation rates, ensuring that the purchasing power of the investment is maintained.
Foreign bonds are issued in a country by a non-domestic entity and are denominated in the currency of the country where they are issued.
Bonds are a versatile investment option, offering something for every type of investor, from the risk-averse to those seeking higher returns. Whether you’re interested in the safety of government bonds or the potential growth from corporate and convertible bonds, understanding the different types of bonds can help you make more updated investment decisions.
Welcome! Today, we’re delving into the intriguing concept of reverse stock splits. Though it might sound complex, it's a straightforward concept once you break it down. A reverse stock split is a corporate action where a company reduces the number of its outstanding shares. This process effectively increases the share price proportionally. Let’s explore what this means and why companies might choose to perform a reverse stock split.
In a reverse stock split, a company consolidates its shares. For instance, in a 1-for-10 reverse stock split, every 10 existing shares are merged into 1 new share. This reduces the total number of shares outstanding but increases the share price accordingly.
Here’s a simple example to illustrate:
Reverse stock splits are strategic actions by companies to manage their share price and market perception. While they can offer benefits such as increased share price and improved investor perception, they also come with risks and considerations. It’s essential to stay informed and understand the broader context when evaluating the impact of reverse stock splits on your investments.
Sapphire Foods India limited one of YUM’s franchisee operators in the Indian subcontinent. They are also Sri Lanka’s largest international QSR chain, in terms of revenue. Company also established a presence in the Maldives. Company-owned and operated 209 KFC restaurants in India and the Maldives, 239 Pizza Hut restaurants in India, Sri Lanka and the Maldives, and two Taco Bell restaurants in Sri Lanka. They operate their restaurants in high traffic and high visibility locations in key metropolitan areas and cities across India and develop new restaurants in new cities as part of their brand and food category expansion. The company has an in-house supply chain function and works with vendor partners for food ingredients, packaging, warehousing, and logistics. The company operates warehouses across 5 Indian cities and has invested in building technology solutions in their restaurants. The company employs YUM brand's global online and digital channel solutions to enhance customer experience and achieve operational efficiency and financial control.
The Company recorded a loss of Rs (99.89) cr. in the financial year FY21 against a loss of Rs (159.25) cr. in the previous year FY20. Revenue from operations in the same period declined to Rs 1,019.62 cr. in FY21 from Rs 1,340.41 cr. in FY20 due to the Covid-19 crisis. The issue is priced at a P/BV of 14.63 based on its NAV of Rs. 80.67 as of June 30. Sapphire Foods is a Leading quick-service restaurant brand with a large market presence and size. Their initial public offer will be a pure offer for the sale of its equity shares; also the company is loss-making in the last three financial years. The company aims to break even in the near future. We are in a bull run of IPO's where new edge businesses are on the front seat. IPO euphoria might lead to listing gain as the IPO is arriving at a P/S of 7x which is half to its peers however we expect the peers to outperform Sapphire Food over the long run. Thus we assign a "SUBSCRIBE" rating with a cautious view.
Incorporated in 2000, One97 Communications Limited (Paytm) is India’s leading digital ecosystem for consumers and merchants. Paytm offers ‘Payment Services’, ‘Commerce and Cloud Services’, and ‘Financial Services’ to 33.3 crore consumers and over 2.18 crore merchants registered with them, as of June 30, 2021.
Their 2-sided (consumer and merchant) ecosystem enables commerce, and provides access to financial services, by leveraging technology to improve the lives of their consumers and help their merchants grow their businesses.
In 2009, the company launched the first digital mobile payment platform, "Paytm App" to offer cashless payment services to customers and now, it became India's largest payment platform and the most valuable payments brand with a total brand value of US$6.3 billion as per Kantar Brands India 2020 Report.
The app enables customers to do cashless transactions at stores, top-up mobile phones, online money transfers, pay bills, access digital banking services, purchase tickets, play games online, buy insurance, make investments, and more. However, merchants can use the platform for advertising, online payment solutions, offering products to customers, and loyalty solutions. They have created a payments-led super-app, through which they offer their consumers innovative and intuitive digital products and services. They offer their consumers a wide selection of payment options on the Paytm app, which includes:
Offer services such as Paytm Wallet, Paytm QR, Paytm Soundbox, Gold investments, and Fixed Deposit, Paytm Postpaid, Merchant Cash Advance and FASTag.
The revenues of the company have been on the declining side, in FY19 revenue was at ₹3,579 cr while in FY21 it was at ₹3,186 cr. Also, it is a loss-making company with a loss of ₹(4,230.9) cr in FY19 which however reduced to ₹(1,701) cr in FY21.
We are in an era of new-age businesses where we have seen many unicorns getting listed recently. It is really arduous to provide a valuation for such types of companies. We expect only leaders will survive over a period of time and only a few such companies will be wealth creators while many can be wealth destroyers. As India is on the verge of digitalization, we may expect the company to get benefited from the same also new acquisition and strengthening of the PAYTM ecosystem from the IPO will be beneficial for the company. Thus we assign a "SUBSCRIBE" rating only for aggressive investors.
There are no listed companies in India that engage in a business similar to that of the Company. Accordingly, it is not possible to provide an industry comparison in relation to the company
India’s leading digital payments system company Paytm made history after successfully launching India’s biggest ever IPO in the current month. As per the sources, the total worth of this public offering was Rs 18,300 Crores with the fixed price band at Rs 2080 to Rs 2,150 for each share.
The company hit headlines when the shares of the company made their market debut after much anticipation on Thursday at a 9 per cent discount. Against the expectations, Paytm Stock listed at Rs 1,955 dropped 9% from its issue price on the BSE. After some hours, the stock prices declined further and reached Rs 1,564 a share (a drop of 27.25%) & hit the lower circuit limit at the end of the day trade.
It has been seen that Paytm's market capitalization dropped to about $13.6 billion from its IPO valuation of $20 billion.
Here comes a question: How did India’s greatest IPO fail to give an outstanding performance? Let’s figure it out.
Experts said that the company’s high valuation, loss-making business decisions and muted investor’s response are some of the primary reasons for the downfall, even though the company expects to break even by next year or in early 2023.
HNIs or and other powerful investors usually borrow funds for the IPO offerings at highly competitive rates. Hence, the investors will make a profit only if the IPO lists at a higher premium than the cost of funding.
After June 2021, merely 25% of the IPO were listed at a discount which led to a huge loss for the investors.
In the case of Paytm, the debut price was lower than anticipated as the stock opened at Rs 1,955 against the issue price of Rs 2,1050 at the upper end at BSE. The stock price is falling at 9.1 per cent. According to Money control, only aggressive investors were requested to put their money for future investments.
The weak response is being viewed as a sign that investors had become disillusioned with a recent string of IPOs with high valuations.
There are numerous reports out there that have claimed that Paytm’s business model lacks focus and attention.
Macquarie Stock Market Research firm has further said that achieving scale with profitability is the biggest challenge for the company. Also, the target price of Rs 1200 for the stock against its issue price of Rs 2,150 clearly shows the 40 per cent downside risks.
Also, the research firm points out that competitors of Paytm such as Amazon, Flipkart, Google etc are offering the same services. The competition became tough when new services such as Buy Today Pay Later were launched by the competitors.
This can be clearly seen from the fact that despite Paytm’s offering being much larger than other offerings, the demand was weaker than the recent stock sale. This is because Paytm has lost much of its market share to its competitors like Google and Flipkart.
Paytm holds its major competition with significant giants in the eCommerce industry like Amazon, GooglePay and Flipkart's Phone Pe. It faces intense competition from these adversaries in specific business areas like purchase currently pay later or buy today and pay later (BTPL)
Although Paytm's Rs. 18,300 crores IPO was listed at the top of the indicator range, it neglected to earn a lot of interest rather than other ongoing IPO events.
The biggest reason behind the market loss to Google Pay and Phone Pe was mainly responsible for this. It is also believed that the company’s FCF (Free cash flow) will not regain its pace till FY 2030.
In addition, the huge development in UPI-based payment structure hampered Paytm's business model.
UPI was presented by GOI in 2019 to build and promote a unified platform for payment in the whole country.
At this point, UPI represents almost 65% of Paytm's GMV, with a strong possibility to reach 85% by FY26
In any case, Paytm actually procures around 70% of its income from the payment business. It is a key part of the mobile wallet section. Nonetheless, this section has lost pertinence because of the advent of UPI payments.
According to a report by Macquarie Research, Paytm needs concentration, innovation and development in its business model. The firm accepts Paytm doesn't have the ability to accomplish scale with productivity.
The digital payment platform is associated with various business verticals, including consumer lending, payment gateway, monetary services etc. It has been consuming a lot of its money while attempting to maintain a few business fragments along with no emphasis on accomplishing benefits. In addition, Paytm procures lower revenue for every dollar it spends through advertising.
As such, the organization has been forced to move into other business segments as it is continuously looking for profitability. In any case, Paytm enjoys a huge client base with 50 million active customers and 22 million merchant banking clients.
Paytm Mall, Paytm's internet business arm, contributes around 55% of its income in this income. During FY2019-21, the segment saw a sharp fall in income. This was predominantly because of rising competition from other significant adversaries.
Paytm neglected to stay aware of the internet business giants like Amazon and Walmart-possessed Flipkart. These players accompany a huge client merchant ecosystem and huge buyer offers.
Paytm stock crash tells us a lot. Only a good company is not the one that can offer you amazing benefits. There are certain things you need to ponder before subscribing to an IPO.
Therefore investors, keen to subscribe to SME IPOs must check the company’s financial and fundamentals. Carefully read the financial statements of a company, analyze its strength and weakness and valuations of a company before subscribing to the IPOs.
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