Muharram Market Holiday 2024: NSE and BSE Closed June 26, Trading Resumes June 29 for Retail Investors

Concept of Future Trading

Just like trading in the spot market trading in futures is also possible in the Indian stock market, but before moving ahead let's clear some concept about it. Trading in futures is categorized under the head of Derivative trading.

The term Derivative means " Derive from others" i.e A derivative is a product or contract which actually derives its value from its underlying asset.

Common derivative contracts available are Forwards, Futures, Options, & Swaps, Here we will look into a Futures contract.

Futures is a contract between two parties to buy & sell an asset at a certain time in the future at a certain price.

The derivatives trading started on 12 June 2000, NSE started its first derivative contract in Index Future, later on, option started on June 4 2001, in NSE. Currently, more than 160 plus companies are trading under derivative contracts along with Index contracts.

Important Terminologies of Future Contract:

Spot Price: Price at which underlying asset available in the spot market.

Future Price: Price at which future contract available in the future market.

Contract Cycle: It is defined as a time period for which a contract trades in the future market, Future contract is available in 3 months contract cycle period.

Lot Size: Defined as a standardized quantity of assets available for delivery at future date.

Expiry: Final day of settlement of a contract i.e. last Thursday of the month.

Initial Margin: Amount which is required to deposit to purchase any future contract.

How to Trade in Future Market:

Trading in futures is as similar as trading in the cash market, the only difference is that in cash a trader needs to pay the full amount to purchase quantity & whereas in the future you need to deposit only a margin amount to purchase the same.

A trader then can hold the given quantity of futures up to expiry or can roll over for the next month, Once can rollover the contract up to 3 months

A trader is more beneficial in future trading as the initial investment requirement is less and returns are more.

For example, A trader who wish to purchase 1000 shares of XYZ ltd @price of 200 where the requirement is Rs 200,000 (1000*200) while in futures you need to deposit only a margin of Rs 25000/-

(Initial Margin 12.5% of the total value of the contract i.e. 1000*200).

Benefits of Trading in Futures:

Low investment cost: In future trading, a trader needs to deposit only the margin amount required to be deposited with the broker.

More suitable for Speculators: Traders require fast money future contract is more suitable for them.

Possible to carry short position: One of the most important benefits of futures trading is that a trader can carry a short position, In cash short trading can be done only for intra-day, while in futures one can carry a short position up to expiry.

INTRODUCTION

In 1914, the company was founded by a man, who was having great visionary to build an empire named Parmanand Deepchand Hinduja, established a family business that spread rapidly throughout the world. In 1919, Company’s started its International operation in Iran, but after the Islamic Revolution, it was moved to Europe.

Group Chairman Mr. Srichand P. Hinduja along with his brothers Gopichand, Prakash, and Ashok Formulated and Implemented a strategy for the diversified growth of the group and transformed it into an international level.

Presently companies are operating in 38+ countries with 150,000+ team members. Today Hinduja Group has become one of the largest diversified groups not only in India but also in the world.

Groups are operating in Banking & Finance, Automotive, Healthcare, IT, Media, Power, Real-estate, Oil, and so on.

GROUP OF COMPANIES

BANKING & FINANCE

IndusInd Bank – It is a private sector bank in India and it was started in 1994. It is the only commercial bank in India to receive ISO-9001:2000 Certification for its branches network. It has 2000+ branches & 2700+ ATMs, spread across 750+ locations in India.

Hinduja Bank (Switzerland) Ltd – It was founded in 1978 and is formerly known as Amas Bank. In 1994 it was regulated by the Swiss Bank. Its headquarters is in Geneva.

Hinduja Leyland Finance Ltd. – It was incorporated in November 2008. It is engaged in a wide range of vehicle finance (Like MHCVs, LCVs, SCVs, CAR, Three Wheelers, Two Wheelers).

Hinduja Housing Finance – It was incorporated in April 2015. It offers a wide range of Home Loans. It is a subsidiary of Hinduja Leyland Finance, which is one of the leading NBFCs in vehicle finance.

AUTOMOTIVE

Ashok Leyland - It was incorporated in 1948 as named Ashok Motors & in 1955 it becomes Ashok Leyland. It’s headquartered in Chennai. It is the 2^nd largest manufacturer of commercial vehicles in India

Hinduja Foundries – It is a division of Ashok Leyland. It is India’s largest foundry business group.

Optare – It is an English bus manufacturer based in Sherburn-in-Elmet, North Yorkshire. It is a subsidiary of the Indian company Ashok Leyland.

OIL

Gulf Oil Lubricants India Ltd – It is the Indian Lubricants Industry. Gulf Oil International (GOI), the parent of GOLIL, owns the Gulf brand globally (except USA, Spain & Portugal).

REAL ESTATE

Hinduja Realty Ventures Ltd – It Aggregate Hinduja Group's real estate assets under Hinduja Realty Ventures Limited (HRVL) - the flagship real estate development arm of the Group.

POWER

Hinduja National Power Corporation Ltd – It is a thermal power plant (coal-based) located in Palavalasa village in the Visakhapatnam district, Andhra Pradesh.

Hinduja Renewables Energy Private Ltd. – It is an independent, future-facing power producer with a vision to grow through both organic and inorganic means in renewable energy.

IT

Hinduja Global Solutions Ltd – It is a service provider headquartered in Bangalore, India. It is a business process management organization. It operates globally with 69 Customers and around 45000+ employees across the world.

Cyqurex Systems Private Limited – It is a joint venture between Hinduja Group and NJK Holding a cybersecurity firm headquartered in London. It is basically engaged with cybersecurity solutions to address the challenges that enterprises face today.

MEDIA

INE and Indigital – It is one of India's largest integrated media companies running one of the largest digital cable TV platforms in the country under the brand "INDigital".

HEALTHCARE

P D Hinduja Hospital – It was established in the 1950s by the late Shri P.D. Hinduja with a vision to deliver Quality Health Services.

Hinduja Healthcare Limited – It is Mumbai based Multi-specialty Hospital. It offers advanced medical facilities.

METAL TRADING

The British Metal Corporation (India) Pvt. Ltd – It is the Joint Venture between Hinduja Group & Amalgamated Metal Corporation Group (UK). It was established before India’s Independence and is engaged in the trade of materials.

Investment & savings are two topics which we never learn in school or any college, what we learn is how to get a job. Yes after getting a job, we actually focus on purchasing new things, accessories, parties, etc but we never give a single thought to save a single penny for our future. And this is actually happening with every person at an early age but yes we all bring in it later on after we understand its importance.

Approx at age of 23-24 we entered into the job and simple human tendency is to first enjoy the time being earnings and savings can be done later, yes the basic reason is lack of proper financial planning which make our investments delay. So what can be done? A question arises in the mind of every individual when they face any uncertain situation. It's not so hard to invest what all is required is a mindset of doing it so.

How Can We Make the First Investment?

Systematic Investment Plan (SIP)

It is a simple way of investing a fixed amount regularly with discipline irrespective of the stock market hours. It is a recurring deposit in mutual funds.

A very basic instrument in which investment can be done is the  Mutual Fund. One can allocate 10 to 20 % of salary in its initial stage for start investing, Yes for starting up mutual funds  SIP are the best route and it's not required to go with a huge sum one can proceed it with a small sum of Rs.500/-, yes this is correct seems easy.

Actually when we all move out with friends & family spending a huge sum on a normal dinner in the restaurant seems very low, though it cost more.

Importance of Systematic Investment Plan:

The investment amount is small: SIP investment requires a very small sum of Rs. 500/- which actually doesn't create any sort of burden on any individual earnings. Even many funds offer a minimum sum of Rs. 100/- too.

Disciplined way of investment:

SIP is the best way to start investing  regularly as it takes one-time registration with help of ECS funds will be directly debited from a bank account

Monthly installment:

SIP is a kind of investment deducted on a fixed date every month from your bank account. It's actually like depositing regular installments for our future benefits.

Increase or decrease the amount:

An individual can increase the number of SIPs or can increase the amount as per his/her convenience, It actually depends upon the goal of an investor.

Benefits in long run:

SIP is a route of indirect investment in the equity market via a route of mutual funds, we all know equity markets are very volatile in nature on day to day basis but it gives the best return in the long term horizon. As in long term, we receive the benefit of rupee cost averaging.

Rupee cost averaging:

We are aware of the market it is volatile in nature which sometimes leads to a fall in stock prices also, in a similar manner NAV of funds also falls in continuation of SIP it is more beneficial because in this case buying is done with a low price compare to the previous month.

Once a person hears the word dividend he simply understands it to be a profit or a reward, but why a company does profit sharing with its customers. Here are the answers:

A dividend is cash or reward which is given, for delivering returns to the equity shareholders, on the capital invested by them in the business. It is often a part of the profit that the company shares with its shareholders.

What is a Dividend Policy?

A company uses dividend policy to structure its dividend payout to the shareholders. Dividend decisions refer to the decision-making mechanism of the management to declare the dividends.

Why do we need to have a dividend policy?

These are the major reasons as to why do we need dividend policy.

1. Maximize the shareholder’s wealth

The company’s ultimate objective is to maximize the shareholder’s wealth. The shareholders invest in the company and the company should pay them in such a manner that they further continue to invest.

2. Fulfilling the financial needs of the company

If the shareholders continue to invest in the company, the company would have enough money to sustain in the competitive market.

Factors influencing the dividend decision that a company takes:

There does not exist a single dividend decision factor that can work for every organization.

1. The earnings of the company and its prospects.
2. The Company’s cash inflows, which includes its stability and liquidity requirements.
3. Shareholder’s expectation towards dividend as a source of income.
4. Stability in the dividend payouts, irregularity in dividend payout should be avoided.
5. The tax considerations, as the company would be left with fewer profits after paying out the taxes.
6. Restrictive covenants such as creditors, lenders, debenture holders because of them there is a huge impact on the decisions.
7. Long terms payout decision of the company.
8. Control policy of the company so that the shareholder's control would be less in the company.
9. Impact of the trade cycle
10. Government policies as the government intervene in a particular industry and can restrict the issue of shares or debentures.

Forms of Dividend:

Cash dividend

A dividend which is paid out in cash. It will reduce the cash reserves of a company.

Bonus shares

Bonus shares are the shares in the company which are distributed to shareholders at no cost. It is not done in the place of cash dividend but in addition to a cash dividend.

How does a company approach towards the dividend policy?

Well, there are two approaches to the same:

1. When the company thinks of itself first that is when it looks for profitable avenues for reinvestment and pooling the funds into the company and whatever remains is then distributed to the shareholders.
2. When the company thinks of shareholders first that is it takes an active decision of distributing the dividend in a planned and strategic manner.

What patterns do the companies follow while paying out dividends?

Stable Dividend Policy

The company decides to pay periodically a fixed amount of dividend to the shareholders. Even when the company incurs loss or generates high profit, there is no change in the dividend paid.

Regular Dividend Policy

A certain percentage of the company’s profit is allowed as dividends to the shareholders. When the gain is high, the shareholders’ earnings will also rise and vice-versa.

Irregular Dividend Policy

The company may or may not pay dividends to the shareholders. As per their priorities, the top management i.e., the board of directors solely take all dividend decisions.

No Dividend Policy

The company has no intention of declaring any dividends to its shareholders. The company always retain its profits to fund further projects.

What is a Sound Dividend Policy?

When the company is at the initial stage and it earns little profit, then it should give lower dividends to the shareholders.

When the company is growing it should provide a dividend to the shareholders in a proportionate manner.

When the company can survive in the market, it should provide a stable dividend to its shareholders.

What will be the impact of dividend decision on the share prices of the company?

If the company is paying dividends regularly, there is a pressure for maintaining the stability in the dividend payout. If it does not pay dividends even for one year and retains the funds for capital investment then it may prove hazardous for the company.

In cases of the company which has no stability in dividend policies, when the company does declare a dividend, the share prices will rise before the ex-dividend date. On dividend declaration more and more people invest by buying its shares, these shares are then sold. This is then followed by a fall in the share prices. It would result in great volatility.

A company’s dividend decisions and policy depict its future and financial well-being. Dividend payout policies are considered to be a bridge between the company and shareholders for profit-sharing. It would be difficult for investors to know the intentions of the management if the management does not have a sound dividend policy.

The dividend policies of an organization also result in a significant bearing on the market value of stocks, it also impacts the valuation of the company. Hence, it needs to be systematically framed and implemented.

Nifty hits new all-time high of oddest number 13579 with positive closing for the sixth consecutive week.

As we said earlier that we are in a roaring bull market because of Nifty and Sensex both end with a weekly gain for the sixth consecutive week whereas they hit a new all-time high for the fifth consecutive week. Nifty hits a new high of 13579 which is the oddest number in the oddest year which has an even number 2020 while Sensex hits an all-time high of 46309. At the end of the week, they both ended with a gain of around 2%.

If we talk about last week hero then it was the FMCG sector which ends with a gain of more than 6% in the leadership of heavyweights ITC and HUL.

Data Analysis:

Foreign Institutional Investors remain on the driver’s seat where they bought around 16719cr in the cash market last week while DIIs are still in the mood of selling as they sold around 12434 Cr in the cash market.

If we talk about F&O data then FIIs long exposure in index future stands at 77% which was the same as last week but it is still a little elevated level. PCR ratio stands at 1.55 mark which is a comfortable level.

What do Technical Charts Say?

Technical charts say that Nifty is in strong bullish momentum but last week's high of 13579 is a critical number as per Gann's theory, therefore, we could see some resistance at this point while above the 13579 levels, 13689/13770 will be the next target levels for the Nifty. On the downside, 13400-13300 is an immediate demand zone while 13150-12950 is a critical demand zone because below the 12950 levels, we can expect any trend reversal.

If we talk about Bank nifty then it is also showing decent strength where 30800-31000 is an immediate supply zone; above this, 31500/32000 will be the next resistance levels. On the downside, 30200-29800 will be an immediate demand zone while 29000-28500 will be the critical demand zone.

Important cues for the next week:

• Inflation numbers: Both CPI and WPI numbers will be announced on Monday for India and they may have a significant impact on the market because the stock market is worrying about high inflation numbers amid a rise in commodity and vegetable prices.
• US Fed meeting outcome: We will have the outcome of the US Fed meeting on 16th December which will have a significant impact on global markets.
• Other central banks meeting: BOE and BOJ will also come out their monetary policy on 17th December and 18th December respectively.
• Covid19 cases and vaccine-related news: The trend in COVID19 cases and news flow regarding vaccines will continue to impact global markets.
• FIIs’ behavior: FIIs’ behavior will be the key for the market direction as they are driving the current bull market.

Equity investment is one of the most important investment avenues for investors as it always gives multiple returns in a long duration. But yes the major question is how can we select that stock, just by hearing the name only, Is that enough? Probably not, but you try to understand the basic structure of the company can surely benefit.

Every investor tries to invest in those companies which are having a long record of performance along with high trust value. Because it's business it may run long or can collapse soon. So while investing in equities there lies a risk of investment also, which actually makes Indian investors stay away from the equity asset class. And Investors shift themself towards other instruments like FD, Bonds Gold, etc which are having criteria of fixed return which many investors enjoy.

How to Identify Good Stock for Investments:-

It's been always a big question to identify a good stock as there are more than 6000+ companies listed on the exchange and it's not easy to track each company from an investment perspective. As all it takes a long time just to understand about the company better one should the basic approach to understand it.

Identification of Sector:

Before proceeding towards investment in any stock we should first select the sector in which we want to invest, Selection of the sector actually depends upon the understanding of the business model of the company so that investor should relate it with the current market condition. In the stock market, it's better to go with the flow instead of going against the flow.

Understand the Business Model of the Stock:

Once the sector selection process is done. We must look into the business of a selected company, what kind of business the company is doing will it be suitable for the long-term, how its revenue generated, the impact of government policy etc, these all things actually play a vital role while selecting any stock.

Company Management:

Warren Buffett Quoted once – "I look for integrity, energy, and intelligence in management."

Management is considered as the backbone of the company, A fair management always gives a clear outlook of the business as well as present a fair image of the company. One should look at what kind of management is in the company is it Professional management or Family management. Professional management is more favorable while selecting any stock.

Past track record of the company:

Investment is actually a game of numbers along with facts & figures, Companies showing consistent growth with positive returns are always considered more favorable, Though the business is not the same all-time some times its profit some times its loss, So investors actually show faith in those companies who are consistent in the market from a long run.

With the help of certain financial statements like P&L, Balance Sheet one can actually look into the company performance, though it's not easy for everyone to read the financial statements one can take the help of certain financial websites available for it.