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India’s Goods and Services Tax (GST), introduced in 2017, was one of the most significant tax reforms in independent India. Fast forward to 2025, the government is considering next-gen GST reforms aimed at simplifying the structure and potentially cutting rates to boost consumption.
If implemented, these reforms could change the way households spend, businesses operate, and investors allocate their portfolios. More importantly, they may trigger a stock market rally, similar to the momentum witnessed after the corporate tax cut in 2019.
Let’s decode how this reform could shape India’s consumption story and what it means for the stock market.
GST has streamlined indirect taxation, but challenges remain: multiple slabs, compliance complexities, and sector-specific anomalies. By 2025, policymakers are focusing on:
A simpler GST can lower prices, increase demand, and strengthen India’s consumption-driven economy, which contributes nearly 60% to GDP.
Imagine a family planning to buy a two-wheeler. If GST drops from 28% to 18%, the cost decreases by nearly ₹10,000. That saving either goes back into discretionary purchases (like electronics or travel) or adds to household savings.
Some key areas that may benefit:
This ripple effect supports higher sales, better corporate earnings, and eventually stronger stock performance.
History shows that tax reforms can act as a sentiment booster:
Likely market beneficiaries:
However, investors must also consider fiscal implications. A steep tax cut may reduce government revenues, impacting fiscal deficit management. The balance between growth and fiscal prudence will be critical.
Globally, governments have used indirect tax cuts as a stimulus tool:
India’s 2025 GST reform could echo these moves, signaling a pro-growth policy stance that encourages private investment and boosts investor confidence.
Investors need to watch sectoral cues and policy announcements closely. A well-diversified strategy can help capture opportunities while managing risks.
At Swastika Investmart, investors gain:
👉 Open an Account with Swastika Investmart to explore investment opportunities around India’s consumption boom.
Q1. What is the Next-Gen GST Reform 2025?
It refers to proposed changes in India’s GST system, focusing on simplification and possible tax cuts to boost consumption and growth.
Q2. Which sectors will benefit most from a GST cut?
FMCG, automobiles, consumer durables, and financial services are likely to benefit as reduced taxes spur demand.
Q3. How can GST cuts impact the stock market?
They improve corporate earnings and consumer sentiment, which can trigger rallies in consumption-driven stocks.
Q4. Will tax cuts hurt government revenues?
In the short term, yes. However, higher consumption and better compliance may balance the fiscal impact over time.
Q5. How can investors prepare for this reform?
By tracking government announcements, focusing on consumption-driven sectors, and leveraging expert research through platforms like Swastika Investmart.
The Next-Gen GST Reform 2025 has the potential to act as a game-changer for India’s economy. By cutting taxes and simplifying slabs, the government can stimulate consumption, strengthen corporate earnings, and fuel a stock market rally.
For investors, this is both an opportunity and a challenge—requiring informed strategies and timely execution. Swastika Investmart, with its research expertise, SEBI registration, and customer-first approach, is well-positioned to help you navigate this evolving landscape.
👉 Open Your Account Today with Swastika Investmart and be ready for India’s next growth wave.
Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited is a leading player in spend management with a diversified offering of fintech and SaaS products and services to corporates. Their SaaS platform is designed for (i) business spend management (including expense management and vendor management); (ii) rewards and incentives management for employees and channel partners; and (iii) gift card management for merchants, which they refer to as customer engagement management system (CEMS).
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Executive Chairman of the Company. He has been on the Board of the Company since April 30, 2012. He completed post graduate diploma in business management with specialisation in finance from the FORE School of Management, New Delhi. He has experience in the technology and fintech industry.
Company Secretary and Compliance Officer of the Company. She joined the Company on January 18, 2022. Prior to joining this company, she worked with Axis Clinicals Limited as assistant general manager- company secretary, Gayatri Projects Limited as assistant company secretary and Spandana Sphoorty Financial Limited as deputy company secretary and manager– corporate affairs
Managing Director and Chief Executive officer of the Company. He has been on the Board of the Company since May 7, 2012. He holds a bachelors’ degree in engineering from Bangalore University, and a masters’ degree in business administration from the University of Chicago. Prior to this, he worked as an Assistant Vice President at Citibank N.A., India.
Chief Financial Officer of the Company. He joined the Company as vice president-finance and accounts on May 9, 2022 and was promoted as the Chief Financial Officer on August 25, 2022. He is a member of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India, New Delhi. Prior to joining this Company, he worked at Spandana Sphoorty Financial Limited.
There are no directly listed companies in India, or internationally, whose business portfolio is comparable with that of our business and comparable to Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited’s scale of operations. Hence, it is not possible to provide an industry comparison in relation to this Company.
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Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited is a uniquely positioned player in the fintech industry, offering a diversified suite of products and services. The company has a SaaS-based fintech platform and in- house-developed technology. Additionally, the company has diverse sources of revenue and a low-cost operation model.
However, there are some concerns about the company's financial performance. The company has a major dependency on third parties, and it has faced negative cash flow and a decline in its profitability in recent years. Additionally, the company operates in a highly competitive industry.
The IPO is coming at a P/E valuation of 66.6x, which is significantly higher than the valuations of its listed peers. The company's debt-to- equity ratio is also high.
Overall, we believe that the risks outweigh the potential rewards for this IPO. We would avoid investing in this IPO.
The information contained herein are strictly confidential and are meant solely for the information of the recipient and shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written permission of Swastika Investmart Ltd. (“SIL”). The contents of this document are for information purpose only. This document is not an investment advice and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Before taking any decision to invest, the recipient of this document must read carefully the Red Herring Prospectus (“RHP”) issued to know the details of IPO and various risks and uncertainties associated with the investment in the IPO of the Company. All recipients of this document must before acting on the given information/details, make their own investigation and apply independent judgment based on their specific investment objectives and financial position. They can also seek appropriate professional advice from their own legal and tax consultants, advisors, etc. to understand the risks and investment considerations arising from such investment. The investor should possess appropriate resources to analyze such investment and the suitability of such investment to such investor’s particular circumstances before making any decisions on the investment. The Investor shall be solely responsible for any action taken based on this document. SIL shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of the information contained in this document and accept no responsibility for statements made otherwise issued or any other source of information received by the investor and the investor would be doing so at his/her/its own risk. The information contained in this document should not be construed as forecast or promise or guarantee or assurance of any kind. The investors are not being offered any assurance or guaranteed or fixed returns on their investments. The users of this document must bear in mind that past performances if any, are not indicative of future results. The actual returns on investment may be materially different than the past. Investments in Securities market products and instruments including in the IPO of the Company are highly risky and they are generally not an appropriate avenue for someone with limited resources/ limited investment and low risk tolerance. Such Investments are subject to market risks including, without limitation, price, volatility and liquidity and capital risks. Therefore, the users of this document must carefully consider all the information given in the RHP including the risks factors before making any investment in the Equity Shares of the Company.
Swastika Investmart Ltd or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither Swastika Investmart Ltd nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Swastika Investment Ltd may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Research entity has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. Research analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. We have not received any compensation/benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the Research Report.
CORPORATE & ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICE - 48, Jaora Compound, M.Y.H. Road, Indore - 452 001 | Phone 0731 - 6644000
Compliance Officer: Ms. Sheetal Duraphe Email: compliance@swastika.co.inPhone: (0731) 6644 241
Swastika Investmart Limited, SEBI Reg. No. : NSE/BSE/MSEI: INZ000192732 Merchant Banking: INM000012102 Investment Adviser: INA000009843 MCX/NCDEX: INZ000072532 CDSL/NSDL: IN-DP-115-2015 RBI Reg. No.: B-03-00174 IRDA Reg. No.: 713.
SAMHI Hotels Limited is a branded hotel ownership and asset management platform in India. SAMHI Hotels has a portfolio of 4,801 keys across 31 operating hotels in 14 of India's key urban consumption centers, including Bengaluru, Hyderabad, National Capital Region (NCR), Pune, Chennai and Ahmedabad, as of March 31, 2023. The company also has 2 hotels under development with a total of 461 keys in Kolkata and Navi Mumbai.
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Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Company. He has been a member of the Board since December 28, 2010. He has experience in the field of hotel operations, design, consulting and investment
Executive Vice President and Head of Investments of the company. He joined the Company on February 8, 2011.
Previously, he was associated with Inter Globe Hotels Private Limited.
Senior Director - Corporate Affairs, Company Secretary and Compliance Officer of the Company. He is a member of the Institute of Company Secretaries of India and a member of the Institute of Cost and Works Accountants of India.
Chief Financial Officer of the Company. He joined our Company on December 11, 2012. Previously, he was associated with Religare Corporate Services Limited as an executive vice president finance change management
General Counsel of the Company. She joined the Company on May 2, 2017. Previously, she was associated with Phoenix Legal, Vaish Associates Advocates and Unitech Limited
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SAMHI Hotels Limited is a branded hotel ownership and asset management platform in India. The company has a track record of successfully renovating or rebranding hotels to improve performance, and it actively pursues growth prospects through tactical mergers, acquisitions and programmatic capital investment.
SHL, is currently a loss-making hospitality company. The company's financial performance has been poor for the last three years, but it is making progress on cutting losses. But business is subject to seasonal and cyclical variations that could result in fluctuations in the results of operations.
The company is loss-making, so we do not have a P/E ratio. However, its sales multiple is 3.7X, which is below when compared to the industry average. However, as the company is in financial trouble, we won't apply for this IPO.
The information contained herein are strictly confidential and are meant solely for the information of the recipient and shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written permission of Swastika Investmart Ltd. (“SIL”). The contents of this document are for information purpose only. This document is not an investment advice and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Before taking any decision to invest, the recipient of this document must read carefully the Red Herring Prospectus (“RHP”) issued to know the details of IPO and various risks and uncertainties associated with the investment in the IPO of the Company. All recipients of this document must before acting on the given information/details, make their own investigation and apply independent judgment based on their specific investment objectives and financial position. They can also seek appropriate professional advice from their own legal and tax consultants, advisors, etc. to understand the risks and investment considerations arising from such investment. The investor should possess appropriate resources to analyze such investment and the suitability of such investment to such investor’s particular circumstances before making any decisions on the investment. The Investor shall be solely responsible for any action taken based on this document. SIL shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of the information contained in this document and accept no responsibility for statements made otherwise issued or any other source of information received by the investor and the investor would be doing so at his/her/its own risk. The information contained in this document should not be construed as forecast or promise or guarantee or assurance of any kind. The investors are not being offered any assurance or guaranteed or fixed returns on their investments. The users of this document must bear in mind that past performances if any, are not indicative of future results. The actual returns on investment may be materially different than the past. Investments in Securities market products and instruments including in the IPO of the Company are highly risky and they are generally not an appropriate avenue for someone with limited resources/ limited investment and low risk tolerance. Such Investments are subject to market risks including, without limitation, price, volatility and liquidity and capital risks. Therefore, the users of this document must carefully consider all the information given in the RHP including the risks factors before making any investment in the Equity Shares of the Company.
Swastika Investmart Ltd or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither Swastika Investmart Ltd nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Swastika Investment Ltd may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Research entity has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. Research analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. We have not received any compensation/benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the Research Report.
CORPORATE & ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICE - 48, Jaora Compound, M.Y.H. Road, Indore - 452 001 | Phone 0731 - 6644000
Compliance Officer: Ms. Sheetal Duraphe Email: compliance@swastika.co.inPhone: (0731) 6644 241
Swastika Investmart Limited, SEBI Reg. No. : NSE/BSE/MSEI: INZ000192732 Merchant Banking: INM000012102 Investment Adviser: INA000009843 MCX/NCDEX: INZ000072532 CDSL/NSDL: IN-DP-115-2015 RBI Reg. No.: B-03-00174 IRDA Reg. No.: 713.
पिछले सप्ताह फेडरल रिजर्व की एक रिपोर्ट से स्पष्ट हुआ है कि जुलाई और अगस्त में श्रम बाजार में सुस्ती और धीमी मुद्रास्फीति के दबाव के बीच अमेरिकी आर्थिक विकास मामूली रहा है, जिससे उम्मीदों को बल मिला कि केंद्रीय बैंक ने ब्याज दरों में बढ़ोतरी या तो कर दी है, या इसके अंत के करीब है। फेड की बीइंग बुक के मुताबिक जुलाई-अगस्त में आर्थिक विकास माध्यम रहा है। टूरिस्म खर्चो में बढ़ोतरी हुई है, जबकि रिटेल स्पेंडिंग में लगातार गिरावट देखने को मिल रही है। मूल्य वृद्धि धीमी हुई है, लेकिन फेड सर्वे के अधिकतर जिलों ने संकेत दिया कि इनपुट कॉस्ट वृद्धि बिक्री मूल्य से कम धीमी है, क्योकि कम होती मांग के कारण व्यापार बढ़ी हुई लागत को बिक्री मूल्य में शामिल करने में असमर्थ है। लेकिन, कच्चे तेल की कीमतों में बढ़ोतरी से मुद्रास्फीति फिर से बढ़ने की सम्भावना है जिससे यह अनुमान है की फेड सितम्बर में होने वाली बैठक में अपना रुख हॉकिश रखेगा। हालांकि, अमेरिका के आर्थिक आंकड़े यह दर्शाते है की अर्थव्यवस्था की स्तिथि अभी बेहतर बनी हुई है और उम्मीद है की आर्थिक मंदी इस साल के लिए टल जाएगी जिससे सुरक्षित आश्रय की मांग कम हुई है। उधर, चीन की अर्थव्यवस्था में सुस्ती, इसके आर्थिक आकड़ो में देखि जा सकती है जिससे अमेरिकी डॉलर के विरुद्ध चीन की मुद्रा में गिरावट देखि जा रही जिससे एशिया की अन्य अर्थव्यवस्थाओं की मुद्रा भी गिरावट की चपेट में आ गई है। यूरोपियन यूनियन की मुद्रा यूरो में डॉलर की तुलना में गिरावट बनी हुई है जिससे छः प्रमुख मुद्राओ का मापक अमेरिकी डॉलर इंडेक्स, में तेज़ी देखने को मिल रही है और कीमती धातुओं के भाव में दबाव बना हुआ है। इस सप्ताह अमेरिका मुद्रास्फीति, रिटेल सेल्स, कंस्यूमर सेंटीमेंट और यूरोपियन सेंट्रल बैंक की मॉनेटरी पॉलिसी, कीमती धातुओं के भाव के लिए महत्वपूर्ण रहेंगी।
इस सप्ताह कीमती धातुओं के भाव सीमित दायरे में रहने की सम्भावना है। एमसीएक्स अक्टूबर वायदा सोने में सपोर्ट 58000 रुपये पर है और रेजिस्टेंस 60000 रुपये पर है। दिसंबर वायदा चांदी में सपोर्ट 68000 रुपये पर है और रेजिस्टेंस 75000 रुपये पर है।
R R Kabel Limited is one of the leading companies in the Indian consumer electrical industry (comprising wires and cables and fast- moving electrical goods (“FMEG”)), with an operating history of over 20 years in India. They sell products across two broad segments - (i) wires and cables including house wires, industrial wires, power cables, and special cables; and (ii) FMEG including fans, lighting, switches, and appliances.
OBJECTS OF THE ISSUE
Executive Chairman of the Company. He has completed his secondary level school education from Hindi High School, Mumbai. He has extensive experience in the electrical industry. Previously, he was associated with Shramik Winding Wires Private Limited as a director. He was appointed to RR Kabel’s Board of Directors with effect from May 13, 1997.
Managing Director of the Company. He has extensive experience in the electrical industry. Previously, he was associated with the International Copper Association as the chairman of wire and cable product council and the Indian Electrical and Electronics Manufacturers’ Association as the president.
Joint Managing Director of the Company. He has extensive experience in the electrical industry. Previously, he was associated with MEW Electricals Limited as a director. He was appointed to the Board of Directors with effect from February 6, 1995.
Chief Financial Officer of the Company. He joined the Company on July 1, 2000 and is responsible for heading the financial functions of the Company including leading various initiatives in the organization of business excellence and operational efficiency of the Company.
Chief Executive Officer of the Company. He joined the Company on December 16, 2022 and is responsible for handling the domestic business administration of the Company.
Company Secretary and Compliance Officer of the Company. He joined the Company on June 1, 2013 and is responsible for secretarial and legal functions of the Company. Previously, he has worked with MEW Electricals Limited.
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OUTLOOK & VALUATION
RR Kabel is a well-established player with strong brand recall and quality products. The company has a diverse product portfolio and an extensive domestic and global distribution network, and it is working on strategies for further enhancement as well. Other than the wire and cable industries, they are also well-positioned for growth in the FMEG segment.
Financial performance has been mixed, where there is growth in revenue and net worth but pressure on its margins with declining profits. The issue size is around 1964 crore, but most of its portion belongs to the offer for sale. Finally, the IPO is coming at a P/E valuation of around 60.5x, which is looking high-priced.
Due to the high valuation and current market sentiments, we will avoid this IPO for listing benefits. However, it could be a good pick for the long term, and investors may consider it during any post-listing correction.
Ratnaveer Precision Engineering Limited is a stainless steel (“SS”) product manufacturer focused on producing finished sheets, washers, solar roofing hooks, pipes, and tubes. Their products find application across various industries and their products are used in both commercial and residential sectors and are sold within India and overseas.
Chairman, Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer of the Company. He has been associated with the Company since its incorporation. He has over two decades of experience in ferrous and nonferrous metal industries.
Whole time Director of the Company. He has over four decades of experience and has worked in different sectors such as metals, agriculture, automobile etc. He has been associated with the Company since past fifteen years and has been acting as a Director on the Board since 2011. He oversees production as well as commercial functions.
Company Secretary & Compliance Officer of the Company. She is an associate member of the Institute of Company Secretaries of India. She has over 5 years of experience in secretarial and compliance field.
Chief Operating Officer of the Company. He has been associated with the Company since 2011. He holds Diploma degree in Mechanical Engineering. He has over 50 years of experience in terms of consultant as well as employee of the various Company.
Ratnaveer Precision Engineering Limited is a manufacturer of stainless steel products with a wide range of products and multiple designs. The company has a backward-integrated business model, which gives it control over the supply chain, and a research and development (R&D) setup for new product development. It has also reported strong financial performance in the last three years.
However, the steel industry is subject to market volatility and economic conditions. Additionally, it is a highly competitive industry. The major concern for investors here is the high debt-to-equity ratio and low-margin business. However, the IPO is coming at a fair price-to-earnings (P/E) valuation of 13.49x.
Thus, after considering all the factors, we suggest applying for this IPO for listing gain.
The information contained herein are strictly confidential and are meant solely for the information of the recipient and shall not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written permission of Swastika Investmart Ltd. (“SIL”). The contents of this document are for information purpose only. This document is not an investment advice and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Before taking any decision to invest, the recipient of this document must read carefully the Red Herring Prospectus (“RHP”) issued to know the details of IPO and various risks and uncertainties associated with the investment in the IPO of the Company. All recipients of this document must before acting on the given information/details, make their own investigation and apply independent judgment based on their specific investment objectives and financial position. They can also seek appropriate professional advice from their own legal and tax consultants, advisors, etc. to understand the risks and investment considerations arising from such investment. The investor should possess appropriate resources to analyze such investment and the suitability of such investment to such investor’s particular circumstances before making any decisions on the investment. The Investor shall be solely responsible for any action taken based on this document. SIL shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of the information contained in this document and accept no responsibility for statements made otherwise issued or any other source of information received by the investor and the investor would be doing so at his/her/its own risk. The information contained in this document should not be construed as forecast or promise or guarantee or assurance of any kind. The investors are not being offered any assurance or guaranteed or fixed returns on their investments. The users of this document must bear in mind that past performances if any, are not indicative of future results. The actual returns on investment may be materially different than the past. Investments in Securities market products and instruments including in the IPO of the Company are highly risky and they are generally not an appropriate avenue for someone with limited resources/ limited investment and low risk tolerance. Such Investments are subject to market risks including, without limitation, price, volatility and liquidity and capital risks. Therefore, the users of this document must carefully consider all the information given in the RHP including the risks factors before making any investment in the Equity Shares of the Company.
Swastika Investmart Ltd or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither Swastika Investmart Ltd nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. Swastika Investment Ltd may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report. Research entity has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company. Research analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company. We have not received any compensation/benefits from the Subject Company or third party in connection with the Research Report.
CORPORATE & ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICE - 48, Jaora Compound, M.Y.H. Road, Indore - 452 001 | Phone 0731 - 6644000
Compliance Officer: Ms. Sheetal Duraphe Email: compliance@swastika.co.inPhone: (0731) 6644 241
Swastika Investmart Limited, SEBI Reg. No. : NSE/BSE/MSEI: INZ000192732 Merchant Banking: INM000012102 Investment Adviser: INA000009843 MCX/NCDEX: INZ000072532 CDSL/NSDL: IN-DP-115-2015 RBI Reg. No.: B-03-00174 IRDA Reg. No.: 713.
सोने की कीमतें तीन सप्ताह के उच्चतम स्तर के करीब पहुंच गई है, क्योंकि अमेरिका से कमजोर आर्थिक आकड़ो से अटकलें लगाईं जा रही है कि फेडरल रिजर्व के पास ब्याज दरें बढ़ाने के लिए बहुत कम गुंजाइश है। पिछले सप्ताह सोने में मजबूत बढ़त देखी गई क्योंकि कमजोर अमेरिकी जीडीपी और रोजगार आंकड़ो ने डॉलर और ट्रेजरी यील्ड को कम कर दिया। चीनी आर्थिक मंदी की बढ़ती आशंकाओं के बीच सोने की सुरक्षित निवेश मांग में भी वृद्धि देखी गई, क्योंकि एशिया की सबसे बड़ी अर्थव्यवस्था चीन के आंकड़े मंदी की और संकेत कर रहे है। चीन के आंकड़ों से पता चला है कि मैन्युफैक्चरिंग सेक्टर अगस्त में लगातार पांचवें महीने सिकुड़ गया है, जबकि नॉन-मैन्युफैक्चरिंग विकास भी धीमा हो गया है। आर्थिक आकड़ो ने चीन में निरंतर आर्थिक कमजोरी की ओर इशारा किया है, जबकि चीन ने अर्थव्यवस्था को समर्थन देने के लिए और अधिक प्रोत्साहन उपाय करना जारी रखा है। फोकस अब चीन के अधिक प्रोत्साहन उपायों पर है, खबरों से स्पष्ट होता है कि पीपुल्स बैंक ऑफ चाइना तरलता को बढ़ावा देने के लिए मॉर्गेज और युआन जमा दरों को और कम करने की योजना बना रहा है, और फॉरेक्स रिज़र्व रेक्विरेमेंट रेश्यो को पिछले सप्ताह कम कर दिया है। अमेरिकी डॉलर, जो सोने के विपरीत दिशा में चलता है, पिछले सप्ताह 1 प्रतिशत तक लुढ़क गया और बेंचमार्क अमेरिकी बांड यील्ड उच्च स्तरों से पीछे हट गई है जिससे सोने और चांदी की चमक बढ़ती दिखाई दी है। पिछले सप्ताह एमसीएक्स में ऑक्टूबर वायदा सोना और दिसंबर वायदा चांदी में 1.5 प्रतिशत बढ़ोतरी दर्ज की गई है। अमेरिका ब्याज दरें अधिक होने के बावजूद कोर पीसीई प्राइस इंडेक्स के आंकड़े स्थिर रहे जबकि पर्सनल स्पेंडिंग में बढ़ोतरी दर्ज की गई है। लेकिन ऊंची दरों के बीच अगर वैश्विक आर्थिक हालात बिगड़ते हैं तो इस साल भी सोने में कुछ मजबूती देखने को मिल सकती है। हाल के अमेरिकी जीडीपी आंकड़ों से पता चला है कि साल की पहली छमाही में आर्थिक मंदी का असर नहीं होने के बावजूद, दुनिया की सबसे बड़ी अर्थव्यवस्था अभी ठंडी पड़ी हुई है। त्यौहार सीजन के पहले कीमती धातुओं में घरेलु मांग बढ़ने के आसार है, और भारत में अलनीनो प्रभाव के चलते 122 साल में अब तक सबसे कम बारिश हुई है जिससे फ़ूड इन्फ्लेशन बढ़ने की सम्भावना भी है, जो कीमती धातुओं के भाव को सपोर्ट कर सकता है।
इस सप्ताह कीमती धातुओं के भाव में तेज़ी बनी रहने की सम्भावना है। एमसीएक्स अक्टूबर वायदा सोने में सपोर्ट 58800 रुपये पर है और रेजिस्टेंस 60500 रुपये पर है। दिसंबर वायदा चांदी में सपोर्ट 74000 रुपये पर है और रेजिस्टेंस 78000 रुपये पर है।
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