Commodity markets have become the backbone of global trade and investment strategies. Whether you're a beginner or an active trader on MCX, commodities like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Copper play a crucial role due to rising volatility, geopolitical tensions, inflation cycles, and changing industrial demand.
In India, commodities are traded primarily through MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange) under SEBI regulations, ensuring transparency and investor protection.
Let’s explore the Top 5 Most Traded Commodities in 2025, their importance, what influences their prices, and how traders can benefit using insights from brokers like Swastika Investmart.
Gold remains the world’s most traded and most preferred safe-haven commodity.
In India, demand is driven by jewellery, central bank buying, inflation hedging, and festive seasons.
Silver is unique because it is both a precious metal and an industrial metal.
In 2025, it’s heavily influenced by demand from EVs, solar panels, electronics, and renewable energy projects.
Crude Oil impacts transportation, manufacturing, inflation, and currency values.
It is the backbone of global energy markets and one of the most traded assets on MCX.
Natural Gas is one of the most volatile commodities, perfect for experienced traders.
Copper is widely used in infrastructure, electrical networks, real estate, EVs, and manufacturing.
Its price is a leading indicator of economic health.
Commodity Snapshot Table
SEBI regulates commodity markets to ensure transparency and fairness:
This makes India’s commodity market stable for both beginners and advanced traders.
Swastika Investmart stands out with:
Whether you're trading intraday crude oil, investing in gold hedging, or tracking copper trends, Swastika provides tools and research for smarter decisions.
Gold and Copper are relatively stable and easier to analyze.
Because its supply depends on geopolitics and global demand cycles.
Yes, due to leverage and volatility always trade with stop loss and regulated brokers.
Depends on lot size and contract value on MCX; smaller mini contracts are available.
Yes Swastika offers MCX trading, research-based calls, and AI market insights for all major commodities.
The top 5 most traded commodities Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Copper continue to dominate global and Indian markets in 2025.
Understanding their price drivers, volatility, and trading patterns helps traders make informed decisions. With SEBI-regulated platforms and AI-powered tools from Swastika Investmart, navigating commodity markets becomes significantly easier and more efficient.
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Precious metals have always occupied a special place in Indian households and portfolios. After a powerful rally earlier this year, both gold and silver have recently entered a correction phase. This has sparked a major question among investors: Is this just a temporary dip driven by global cues, or are we looking at a deeper shift in the commodity cycle?
In this blog, we break down the factors behind the correction, evaluate long-term prospects, and help you understand whether this phase could be an attractive opportunity.
Gold and silver prices are highly sensitive to US Federal Reserve policy. When the Fed signals delayed rate cuts or a tighter stance, bond yields rise. That makes non–yielding assets like gold less attractive in the short run. The recent correction is largely linked to shifting expectations around these rate movements.
A stronger dollar makes precious metals costlier for non-US buyers. Over the past few weeks, the dollar index has shown upward momentum, reducing global appetite for gold and silver and pushing prices down on international exchanges.
After touching fresh highs earlier in the year, many traders and funds booked profits. This is a common market behavior, especially after a strong upward stretch, leading to short-term pullbacks.
In India, MCX gold and silver are influenced by both global prices and rupee fluctuations. Even when global prices stabilize, a stronger rupee can bring domestic corrections — something Indian investors must keep an eye on.
Global central banks continue to accumulate gold as part of their reserves. This long-term structural demand supports gold prices even during periods of short-term correction. India’s RBI has also added to its gold reserves in recent years, reflecting confidence in the metal’s stability.
Any flare-up in geopolitical tensions — whether in the Middle East, Europe, or the Asia-Pacific — tends to push gold higher as global investors seek safe-haven assets. Precious metals have historically benefited during periods of uncertainty.
Silver is not just a precious metal; it also plays a vital role in industries like:
This industrial demand provides long-term support, especially as countries accelerate clean energy transitions. Short-term corrections often fail to dent this structural growth trend.
Gold has long been viewed as a hedge against inflation. India’s inflation remains in the RBI’s comfort zone, but global inflation prints still influence safe-haven buying. Whenever inflation uncertainties rise, gold tends to recover quickly.
The moment the Fed signals clear rate cut timelines, both gold and silver could resume upward movement. Historically, metals have rallied strongly in easing cycles.
Indian wedding season and festive periods like Akshaya Tritiya often boost domestic demand. A correction ahead of peak buying season can offer attractive entry points.
If global growth slows or rate cuts begin, the dollar could weaken — a positive tailwind for precious metals.
These examples show that both short-term and long-term investors can benefit from volatility — if they understand the drivers behind it.
Gold and silver can see sharp moves in response to policy announcements and global events. Short-term traders face higher risks.
MCX prices depend heavily on INR–USD movement. Even if global prices remain stable, a strengthening rupee may pressure Indian prices.
Silver’s industrial exposure means prices can soften during global slowdowns or manufacturing disruptions.
Being aware of these risks helps investors take balanced decisions.
Swastika Investmart stands out as a trusted partner, especially in volatile commodity cycles:
For investors evaluating whether this correction is an opportunity, Swastika provides the right ecosystem to analyse and act.
1. Why are gold and silver prices falling now?
The correction is mainly due to stronger dollar trends, shifting expectations around US rate cuts, and profit-booking after a sharp rally.
2. Is this a good time to buy gold and silver?
Many analysts view the dip as healthy and long-term supportive factors remain intact. Investors with a long horizon often use such corrections to accumulate.
3. Do MCX gold and international gold prices move together?
Broadly yes, but Indian prices also depend on the INR–USD exchange rate, import duties, and domestic demand patterns.
4. Is silver riskier than gold?
Silver is more volatile because it has significant industrial demand. However, this also means higher upside potential in growth cycles.
5. How can I invest in gold and silver through Swastika Investmart?
You can access MCX derivatives, gold ETFs, and other market instruments through Swastika’s SEBI-regulated, research-driven trading platform.
The current gold–silver correction may feel unsettling, but the underlying fundamentals remain strong. With central bank buying, industrial demand, global uncertainties, and structural inflation trends, precious metals continue to be an essential part of diversified portfolios.
Whether this dip becomes a turning point or just a pause in a long-term uptrend, informed investors stand to benefit the most. With Swastika Investmart’s comprehensive research, trusted platform, and investor-focused tools, you can navigate the precious metals market confidently.
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In recent times, public sector banks (PSUs) in India have made a remarkable turnaround. The Nifty PSU Bank index has not only regained momentum but has overtaken major benchmarks like the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty. This isn’t just a short-term rally—it’s a structural shift reflecting improved fundamentals, policy tailwinds, and renewed investor faith. In this analysis, we unpack why PSU banks are leading, what’s driving their strength, and how this resurgence shapes the broader Indian financial markets.
A key driver behind this outperformance is PSU banks’ improved profitability and lower stress. In FY25, public sector banks collectively recorded a record net profit of ₹1.78 lakh crore, a surge of 26% over the prior year. The Times of India
Simultaneously, many PSU banks have brought down their non-performing assets (NPAs), strengthening their balance sheets and building trust among investors. Business Standard
This recovery bolsters confidence and supports a strong valuation base.
PSU banks have clocked notable credit growth. After years of playing catch-up, they are now gaining ground, especially in retail, MSME, and agriculture segments. Business Standard+2mint+2
Remarkably, in FY25, PSU banks outpaced private peers in year-on-year loan growth—something that had not happened for more than a decade. The Economic Times
This strong loan momentum, combined with a stable deposit base, gives them more headroom to expand.
Many PSU banks have raised fresh capital via QIPs (qualified institutional placements), reducing government shareholding and increasing float. TradingView+1
More float improves liquidity, makes shares more accessible to investors, and boosts index weight, which in turn amplifies gains when PSU banks rally.
The weight of PSU banks in both Nifty 50 and Nifty Bank has grown meaningfully. Moneycontrol+1
This reflects not just improved performance but also a re-rating by the market—PSU bank stocks are no longer sidelined as niche or risky plays.
Despite the rally, some analysts still view PSU bank stocks as reasonably valued. TradingView+1
Their valuations are being supported by improving fundamentals (margins, credit, capital), giving long-term and tactical investors a compelling entry point.
Over a recent two-month stretch, the Nifty PSU Bank index surged roughly 20%, compared to a gain of about 6% in the Nifty 50. Business Standard
This divergent movement highlights how PSU banks are now contributing disproportionately to the broader market rally. For the Bank Nifty too, PSU weight has grown, influencing its dynamics. Moneycontrol
Initiatives such as potential higher FDI limits in state-run banks (reports suggest allowing up to 49% foreign ownership) have also fueled optimism. Business Standard
On the credit quality front, reforms and tighter risk management have helped improve coverage ratios, which resonates well with long-term investors and regulators alike.
Q1: Why are PSU banks rallying now compared to private banks?
A: The rally is powered by a mix of strong credit growth, improving asset quality, fresh capital raises, and attractive valuations. While private banks remain competitive, PSUs are benefiting from a structural turnaround that investors are recognizing now. Business Standard+1
Q2: Has the Nifty PSU Bank index really outperformed Nifty 50?
A: Yes — in recent months, the PSU Bank index surged ~20% in about two months, whereas Nifty 50 gained only about 6% in the same period. Business Standard
Q3: Are all PSU banks part of this rally?
A: No. While some banks (e.g., Indian Bank, Canara Bank) are leading, others like Punjab & Sind Bank and UCO Bank are lagging. Selective stock picking is therefore key. The Economic Times+1
Q4: What are the risks of investing in PSU banks now?
A: Key risks include policy shifts, rate sensitivity, macro volatility, and the possibility that valuations could overshoot fundamentals. Exposure should be managed thoughtfully.
Q5: How can Swastika Investmart help me invest in PSU bank themes?
A: Swastika Investmart offers a SEBI-registered platform, strong research, user-friendly technology, and investor education. Together, these help you invest in PSU bank stocks or ETFs with confidence.
The resurgence of PSU banks in India is more than just a cyclical bounce — it's a structural revival backed by real earnings, capital strength, and policy tailwinds. Their outperformance over Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty is signaling a re-rating in how markets value this once-underestimated sector.
If you're looking to tap into this PSU banking momentum, Swastika Investmart offers a trusted, research-driven, and tech-powered platform to position yourself with clarity and conviction.
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भारत में शादी सीज़न सिर्फ पारिवारिक जश्न नहीं होता — यह डिस्क्रीशनरी खर्च (गिफ्टिंग, ज्वेलरी, होटेल बुकिंग, यात्रा) का भी बड़ा ड्राइवर होता है। जब लाखों जोड़े एक साथ शादी करते हैं, तो ज्वेलरी शॉप्स, एथनिक कपड़ों की दुकानों, होटलों और ट्रैवल एजेंसियों में बूम आता है। Swastika Investmart की रिसर्च में यह साफ दिखता है कि यह मौसमी ट्रेंड कुछ चुनिंदा लिस्टेड कंपनियों को लाभ पहुंचा सकता है।
Titan की ब्रांडेड ज्वेलरी (जैसे Tanishq) शादी के मौसम में बहुत लोकप्रिय होती है क्योंकि लोग भरोसेमंद नाम चुनते हैं। नॉन-ब्रांडेड ज्वेलरी के मुकाबले, ब्रांडेड ज्वेलरी में मार्जिन बेहतर हो सकता है क्योंकि खपत अधिक प्रीमियम होती है।
Vedant Fashions (Manyavar) ब्राइडल और ग्रूम वियर में अच्छी पकड़ रखता है। जैसे ही शादी-सीज़न आता है, एथनिक कपड़ों की मांग बढ़ती है, और यह कंपनी फ्रेंचाइजी विस्तार और नए फैशन सेगमेंट के जरिए इस अवसर का फायदा उठा सकती है।
वर्तमान में डेस्टिनेशन वेडिंग्स बहुत ट्रेंड में हैं। IndiGo को शादी-मौसमी ट्रैवल का फायदा मिल सकता है क्योंकि लोग शादी के लिए यात्रा करते हैं — प्यासा यात्री वॉल्यूम और बेहतर लोड फैक्टर से एयरलाइन की आय में इजाफा हो सकता है।
मध्यम स्तर के होटलों में बैंक्वेट हॉल और कमरे की मांग शादी सीज़न में खासतौर पर बढ़ जाती है। Lemon Tree के पास भारत भर में मौजूदगी है और वो लागत नियंत्रण और इवेंट-सेगमेंट (जैसे शादी) के ज़रिए इस बढ़ी हुई मांग से मार्जिन बढ़ा सकते हैं।
लक्ज़री होटल, खासकर Taj-लीडेड प्रॉपर्टीज़, बड़े समारोहों और डेस्टिनेशन वेडिंग्स में भारी बुकिंग हासिल कर सकते हैं। ये इवेंट्स अक्सर पूरे होटल को बुक कर देते हैं, जिससे रेवेन्यू और इवेंट-मार्जिन दोनों बढ़ सकते हैं।
Q1: क्या शादी-सीज़न वाले स्टॉक्स हमेशा फलते-फूलते हैं?
नहीं। मौसमी मांग जरूर बढ़ सकती है, लेकिन स्टॉक्स की रुझान पूरी तरह से बेसिक्स (जैसे वैल्यूएशन और भविष्य की वृद्धि) पर निर्भर करती है।
Q2: शादी थीम वाले स्टॉक्स में निवेश करने का सबसे अच्छा तरीका क्या है?
आप एक डाइवर्सिफाइड बास्केट बना सकते हैं — जैसे ज्वेलरी, होटल और ट्रैवल कंपनियों का मिश्रण — और साथ ही फंडामेंटल्स को ध्यान में रखते हुए निवेश करना चाहिए।
Q3: Swastika Investmart इस रणनीति में कैसे मदद करता है?
Swastika SEBI-रजिस्टर्ड ब्रोकिंग फर्म है, जिसमें रिसर्च एनालिसिस, टेक प्लेटफॉर्म, और इन्वेस्टर एजुकेशन शामिल है — जिससे आप शादी-थीम स्टॉक्स का बेहतर आकलन कर सकते हैं और स्मार्ट निवेश निर्णय ले सकते हैं।
शादी का सीज़न सिर्फ पारिवारिक खुशी का समय नहीं — यह Dalal Street पर एक मौसमी थीम इन्वेस्टमेंट मौका भी पेश करता है। लेकिन सिर्फ थीम पर भरोसा करना पर्याप्त नहीं है। मजबूत रिसर्च, कंपनी के फंडामेंटल्स और वैल्यूएशन की पड़ताल बहुत मायने रखती है।
Swastika Investmart एक SEBI-रजिस्टर्ड और टेक-फर्स्ट ब्रोकिंग प्लेटफॉर्म है, जहाँ आपको गहराई से रिसर्च रिपोर्ट्स, रियल टाइम ट्रेडिंग टूल्स और समर्पित कस्टमर सपोर्ट मिलता है।
अगर आप इन शादी-थीम स्टॉक्स पर ध्यान देना चाहते हैं और भरोसेमंद माध्यम से निवेश करना चाहते हैं, तो यहाँ क्लिक करके
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The Indian stock market witnessed a new-age milestone as Groww, one of India’s leading online investment platforms, made a blockbuster debut on the bourses.
Listed at over ₹150 per share against the issue price of ₹100, the stock delivered an impressive 50% premium on listing day — instantly creating a buzz across Dalal Street and retail investor communities.
Groww’s success symbolizes not just a strong IPO performance, but a broader shift in how Indian investors are embracing technology-driven finance.
Several factors aligned to make this one of the most talked-about listings of 2025.
Retail investors showed tremendous enthusiasm, with the retail portion oversubscribed more than 20 times. The low entry price and Groww’s high brand visibility made it a crowd favorite.
India’s fintech sector is riding a digital wave. With nearly 12 crore demat accounts and increasing mobile-based participation, investors see Groww as a beneficiary of the long-term digital investing trend.
Groww’s easy-to-use app, strong marketing, and focus on millennials have helped it attract over 8 crore registered users. Its simple UI and educational approach made first-time investing accessible to millions.
While earlier loss-making, Groww has shown signs of operational profitability due to rising transaction volumes, higher SIP registrations, and expansion into mutual funds, futures & options, and insurance.
The timing of the IPO — amid a bullish equity market and falling inflation — also helped attract strong institutional demand.
Groww’s performance signals that India’s fintech opportunity is far from saturated. It highlights how investors value not just profitability today, but scalability and user acquisition potential tomorrow.
However, analysts also caution that valuation discipline is key. With high expectations baked in, any slowdown in growth could lead to sharp corrections.
Swastika Investmart’s View:
“Groww’s listing success is a reflection of strong retail participation and optimism around fintech scalability. But at these valuations, investors must focus on execution, product diversification, and revenue consistency before making long-term bets.”
Post listing, Groww’s stock witnessed heavy trading volumes, especially from retail and HNI investors. Analysts believe the stock’s performance also reignited interest in upcoming digital IPOs such as Zerodha, Navi Technologies, and PhonePe (rumoured).
The broader Nifty Fintech Index rose nearly 2.8% on listing day, indicating a sector-wide confidence boost.
However, experts urge caution: short-term listing gains may not always translate into long-term returns. Investors should evaluate valuation metrics, competitive positioning, and regulatory stability before entering at elevated levels.
The success of Groww’s listing also reinforces India’s SEBI-driven vision of democratizing investment access. The regulator’s push for transparency, investor protection, and digital KYC systems has helped fintech platforms scale rapidly.
With RBI’s focus on digital finance supervision and SEBI’s tighter compliance frameworks, the ecosystem is maturing — benefitting both investors and platforms.
If you received allotment, congratulations — booking partial profit while retaining a core holding could be a balanced approach.
If you missed out, don’t chase momentum blindly. Wait for price stabilization and quarterly earnings clarity before taking new positions.
For future IPO opportunities like this, using a platform with strong research insights, seamless tech, and transparent processes — like Swastika Investmart — can make all the difference.
Swastika offers:
Q1. Why did Groww’s share price jump 50% on listing day?
Because of strong demand, high retail participation, positive market sentiment, and optimism around India’s fintech growth potential.
Q2. Is Groww profitable now?
The company is approaching operational profitability, aided by its growing user base and diversification into multiple investment products.
Q3. Should investors buy Groww shares post-listing?
Investors should exercise caution. While the company’s fundamentals are strong, valuations are high. A long-term SIP-style approach may be more prudent.
Q4. What does Groww’s success mean for Indian fintech?
It signals investor confidence in India’s digital transformation and strengthens the case for more fintech IPOs in the coming years.
Q5. How can I stay updated on upcoming IPOs and listings?
You can follow market insights and IPO reviews through Swastika Investmart’s research portal and open an account to access expert analysis.
Groww’s stellar listing is not just a financial event — it’s a symbol of India’s evolving investment culture. It reflects how technology, simplicity, and trust can redefine finance for a new generation of investors.
But as with every growth story, discipline and valuation awareness matter. For those who want to capitalize on such opportunities with data-driven insights, Swastika Investmart offers a comprehensive suite of tools, research, and investor education to help you make smarter financial decisions.
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India’s consumer price index (CPI) inflation tumbled to 0.25% year-on-year in October 2025, marking a historic low since the current series began in 2012. This dramatic decline has surprised both economists and policymakers.
The primary driver? A steep fall in food prices — vegetable and pulses prices dropped by more than 25% year-on-year, while edible oils and cereals saw broad moderation. The government’s supply-side interventions, better monsoon output, and easing global commodity prices all contributed to this cooling trend.
At the same time, core inflation (excluding food and fuel) held around 4.2–4.4%, indicating that services and housing costs remain sticky. This divergence makes the RBI’s next move more complex than the headline number might suggest.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has maintained its repo rate at 5.50% since June 2024, adopting a “wait and watch” stance as inflation steadily declined from its 4–6% corridor.
Now, with CPI far below the RBI’s lower tolerance limit (2%), the pressure is mounting for a rate cut in the upcoming December 2025 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting.
So, while the probability of a rate cut is high, it’s not guaranteed.
The markets have already started reacting to the inflation surprise. Let’s break down how different asset classes might behave if the RBI does move to ease policy.
Low inflation and potential rate cuts generally support stock valuations, as lower interest rates reduce the cost of capital.
Bond yields have already started falling in anticipation of a rate cut. A 25–50 bps repo rate reduction could boost long-duration bond prices significantly.
Investors with exposure to gilt funds or long-term debt funds may gain in the near term.
A softer interest-rate environment could lead to a mild rupee depreciation, especially if global investors chase higher yields elsewhere. However, strong foreign inflows into Indian equities might offset this effect.
If the repo rate is cut, EMIs on home, auto, and personal loans could decline marginally, boosting disposable income. Lower borrowing costs could also reignite demand in consumer goods and real estate.
This isn’t the first time India has faced ultra-low inflation. In 2018, CPI briefly dipped below 3%, prompting an accommodative shift by the RBI in early 2019. However, that easing cycle was short-lived when food and fuel inflation resurfaced.
The takeaway? One low print doesn’t make a trend. Investors should track inflation momentum over the next 2–3 months before making aggressive portfolio changes.
Moreover, this CPI crash also reflects a base effect and food deflation, not necessarily a structural moderation in core prices. Hence, the central bank will aim to ensure that inflation remains sustainably within its 4% midpoint target before loosening too much.
India’s GDP growth remains robust at around 6.8% (FY25 projection), supported by strong infrastructure spending and recovering private consumption. Yet, rural demand and export performance are uneven.
Thus, if the RBI does choose to cut rates, it would likely be a calibrated move—aimed at supporting growth while ensuring inflation expectations stay anchored.
Globally, too, the monetary landscape is shifting. The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank have both paused rate hikes, with markets betting on cuts in early 2026. India’s moderation aligns with this global trend, potentially enhancing capital inflows.
Q1. Why did India’s CPI inflation fall to 0.25%?
Mainly due to a steep fall in food prices and favourable base effects from last year’s high inflation readings.
Q2. Will the RBI definitely cut rates in December?
Not necessarily. While odds of a rate cut are high, the RBI will evaluate growth data, core inflation, and global developments before deciding.
Q3. How does low inflation impact investors?
It generally boosts equity and bond markets by reducing borrowing costs, but may also signal weak demand if sustained too long.
Q4. Which sectors benefit most from a rate cut?
Banks, autos, real estate, and capital-intensive sectors tend to gain from lower rates.
Q5. How can I prepare my portfolio for this changing environment?
Diversify investments, focus on quality stocks, and consider fixed-income exposure. Consulting with Swastika Investmart’s research team can help tailor your strategy.
India’s CPI falling to 0.25% is a landmark moment — one that could reshape the country’s monetary outlook. The dramatic disinflation gives the RBI breathing room to support growth, but the December MPC decision is not a foregone conclusion.
For investors, this environment presents both opportunity and caution. Lower rates could buoy markets, yet sustained disinflation might also signal slower demand.
Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, staying informed and strategic is key.
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Capillary Technologies India Ltd, a Bengaluru-based SaaS company, is tapping the primary market with its IPO worth ₹877.5 crore. The issue comprises a fresh issue of ₹345 crore and an offer for sale (OFS) of ₹532.5 crore by existing shareholders.
The IPO will open for subscription on November 14, 2025, and close on November 18, 2025. Shares are proposed to be listed on both BSE and NSE.
Price Band: ₹549 – ₹577
Issue Size: ₹877.5 Cr
Fresh Issue: ₹345 Cr
Offer for Sale (OFS): ₹532.5 Cr
Lot Size: 25 shares
Face Value: ₹2
Listing Date: November 21, 2025
Market Cap (Post-Issue): ₹4,576.09 Cr
Swastika Rating: Avoid
Founded in India, Capillary Technologies is a global SaaS player specializing in AI-based loyalty and customer engagement solutions. Its product suite includes:
The company serves over 410 brands across 47 countries, particularly in retail, BFSI, and hospitality sectors.
After two years of losses, Capillary turned profitable in FY25, posting a net profit of ₹14.15 crore. However, profitability remains modest, and the company’s valuation at nearly 299× P/E raises red flags for conservative investors.
✅ Market Leadership in Loyalty SaaS: Among Asia’s top loyalty and engagement solution providers.
✅ AI-Driven Personalization: Strong analytics capabilities improve brand–customer relationships.
✅ Global Reach: Presence in over 47 countries, with focus on retail and BFSI.
✅ Experienced Management: Deep domain expertise in enterprise technology and SaaS scalability.
⚠️ Aggressive Valuation: At nearly 299× earnings, the IPO appears significantly overvalued versus global peers like Salesforce (P/E ~40) and Adobe (P/E ~29).
⚠️ High OFS Component: Over 60% of the issue is Offer for Sale, meaning limited fresh capital infusion for business growth.
⚠️ Client Concentration: Heavy dependence on a few large enterprise clients could impact revenue stability.
⚠️ Tech Disruption Risk: Operating in a fast-evolving SaaS space demands continuous innovation and R&D spending.
⚠️ Global Competition: Faces stiff competition from Salesforce, Adobe, HubSpot, and others in international markets.
While Capillary Technologies has achieved a turnaround by reporting profits in FY25, the valuation premium is difficult to justify. With a modest 2.76% ROCE and limited domestic comparables, the IPO is priced much higher than global peers with stronger margins and balance sheets.
Swastika Investmart’s Outlook:
Given the aggressive pricing, high OFS component, and limited profitability track record, Swastika recommends Avoid for long-term investors. Short-term listing gains, if any, could be limited due to stretched valuations.
The IPO arrives at a time when India’s SaaS sector is gaining momentum globally, driven by demand for digital transformation and loyalty solutions. While this offers a long-term structural tailwind, investor appetite remains selective—focusing on companies with consistent profitability and scalable margins.
For instance, past SaaS listings like Freshworks witnessed post-listing volatility despite global brand presence—highlighting how profitability remains the key valuation driver.
If you are a risk-averse or conservative investor, this IPO might not fit your profile. The company’s profitability turnaround is still nascent, and with a major OFS, the proceeds largely benefit existing shareholders.
However, if you have a high-risk appetite and long-term faith in India’s SaaS growth, you may consider tracking the stock post-listing for potential entry opportunities at lower valuations.
Q1. What are the Capillary Technologies IPO dates?
The IPO opens on November 14, 2025, and closes on November 18, 2025.
Q2. What is the IPO price band and lot size?
The price band is ₹549–₹577 per share, and the lot size is 25 shares.
Q3. What is Swastika Investmart’s recommendation on the Capillary Technologies IPO?
Swastika has rated the IPO as Avoid due to its high valuation and limited profit history.
Q4. How does Capillary compare with global peers like Salesforce or Adobe?
Capillary’s P/E ratio (~299×) is far higher than global SaaS leaders like Salesforce (40×) or Adobe (29×), making it relatively overvalued.
Q5. What will Capillary use its IPO proceeds for?
Funds will go toward product R&D, cloud infrastructure, and system upgrades.
Capillary Technologies has demonstrated operational turnaround and solid market positioning in the loyalty SaaS segment. However, valuation comfort remains a concern, making the IPO suitable only for investors with high-risk tolerance.
For investors seeking balanced and research-driven decisions, Swastika Investmart offers SEBI-registered advisory, advanced research tools, and 24×7 support to help you navigate India’s IPO and equity landscape confidently.
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